No accounting for success - Preview Tuesday, 19th Feb 2019 12:19 by Clive Whittingham QPR, on a five match losing run, face high flying West Brom, who beat them 7-1 in August, at Loftus Road this evening. QPR (11-6-14, DLWLLL, 18th) v West Brom (16-9-7, DLLWDW, 4th)Lancashire and District Senior League >>> Tuesday February 19, 2019 >>> Kick Off 19.45 >>> Weather â Sâalright innit? >>> Loftus Road, London, W12 It was John Gregory who always repeated the mantra âtough times donât last, tough people doâ but the tough times Queens Park Rangers are currently wading through look like continuing a little while longer yet. On the pitch, a five-match losing run in the league only looks like continuing with games against three of the top five in the next seven days, starting tonight against a West Bromwich Albion side that has won more away games than anybody else in the league and beat Rangers 7-1 in the corresponding fixture back in August. Off the pitch, the latest set of QPR accounts filed last week laid bare just how difficult itâs going to be for Rangers to compete moving forwards. The club lost ÂŁ37m for the 2017/18 season (the last one under Ian Hollowayâs stewardship) of which ÂŁ20m was the historic FFP fine which was added to the accounts as an exceptional item, with an initial payment north of ÂŁ4m, and the rest due over the next nine years. For the purposes of the new FFP/sustainability rules the loss was in the region of ÂŁ17m, up from ÂŁ6.4m the year before. The new rules clubs are judged by allow them to lose ÂŁ39m over a rolling three season period without being in breach. Last seasonâs loss, coupled with the ÂŁ6.4m from 2016/17, means QPR have just over ÂŁ15m of loss to work with this season. However, were they to lose that full ÂŁ15m, it would leave them with just ÂŁ7m of leeway next season. Last seasonâs wage bill to turnover ratio was 98%, up from 64% the year before. This is the effect of the declining parachute payments, which will drop from ÂŁ16.6m this year and last to zero next year as QPR begin a fifth season outside the Premier League. That means just to stand still and lose the same amount next season as we do this, weâre going to have to make up a ÂŁ16.6m shortfall. The only way the club is going to be able to do that while at Loftus Road is, first and foremost, continuing to reduce the wage bill. The latest set of accounts make it clear in black and white why QPR had to lose all of their senior out of contract players last summer â Jack Robinson and Nedum Onuoha chief among them â and sell goalkeeper Alex Smithies to Cardiff. The wage bill had to come down. Thereâs going to be more pain on that front this summer, with several first team senior players out of contract and three players whoâve been important to us on loan due to return to their parent clubs. When youâre discussing who should be retained, and who youâd like to sign permanently, do so in the context of the ÂŁ39m loss limit, and the ÂŁ16.6m shortfall weâre facing next season. In all likelihood weâre going to be able to retain one of them, probably Jake Bidwell, and that might be about it. You donât want to lose Pawel Wszolek, but given his inconsistent form and the presence of two or three players in the squad who could replace him, that might be one you bite the bullet on. Itâs clear that despite recent improvements, we are still paying too much out in salaries â Millwall balked at Matt Smithâs salary when they enquired about him in January. Secondly, weâre going to have to sell players. Weâre going to have to sell them regularly, and for big money. Luke Freeman, best player on the pitch against Watford on Friday, looks front and centre for that but others are going to have to follow on a semi-regular basis. Itâs going to be hard to bear but when youâre losing your shit over Freeman getting linked with Blackburn and Middlesbrough (as happened last summer), do so in the context of a ÂŁ39m ceiling and a ÂŁ16.6m shortfall. Itâs the simple facts of where we are financially and the rules of the league. And thirdly, the kids are going to have to come through in greater and more successful numbers. Both to keep the first team competitive, and to feed the conveyor belt of departures weâre going to need just to keep ourselves under that ÂŁ39m three-year limit. Ebere Ezeâs drop in form since the halfway point of the season is as unfortunate for the balance sheet as it is for the team and the player. I do think thatâs all it is as well. A 20-year-old kid in his first full season as a Championship player, asked to play a lot of football all at once in the first half of the season, and now having a bit of a dip in form. Heâs an attacking player with a languid style which will always leave him open to accusations of laziness, and heâs getting that thrown at him in ever more angry tones from the stands and the dingey world of social media, but I donât see any lack of effort, just a lack of confidence. If anything, trying to drill the defensive side of the game into him this season has taken something away from the exciting talent that burst through at the end of last season and the start of this. Iâm not sure I want our ten tracking back 80 yards to make a tackle in his own half â we want him up the field, doing damage. We have Cameron/Scowen/Cousins/Luongo for the tough stuff further back.
It did make me smile seeing everybody going crazy over Ilias Chairâs remarkable performance and goals for Stevenage at League Two leaders Lincoln on Saturday. Brilliant to see, unbelievable goals, getting rave reviews, exciting talent, already looked adept in our first team when used. But itâs only just over a year since we were playing videos of those two long range goals from Eze for Wycombe at Cambridge on a loop, demanding he be recalled, demanding he be put in the first team. Now, with his form waning, weâre coating him off for being lazy. Joe Lumley is having a similar thing â not a baby at 24 but still young for a goalkeeper at only 79 senior appearances and struggling with his form and confidence since the incident at Villa Park where Kodija kicked him in the face. This is enough for the Twitteratti to start describing him as an âawfulâ goalkeeper. We cannot afford, in any sense of that word, to just be writing these kids off like this at the first sign of trouble. Chair will come back, Chair will play, and Chair may well turn out to be brilliant. Heâs got everything going for him. But he, and Eze, and Lumley, and everybody else coming up through that U23 system, are just kids, and so theyâre going to have periods where they tire, where they lose form and focus, where things arenât going for them. Thatâs just how it is with young footballers, particularly when theyâre asked to basically be ever-present members of the first team early in their careers, particularly when that first team isnât very good and the pressure is on to perform and the supportersâ expectations are, at the very least, for the club to be competitive despite increasingly being a have not in a league of haves. Exactly the same people baying for Ezeâs return a year ago are now slagging him off for not working hard enough, and talking up Chair. Fast forward a yearâs time and will the little Belgian/Moroccan be getting panned in the same way by the same people? When these kids have a bad time, weâve got to go through it with them, not take against them. One look at the balance sheet tells you why. Links >>> The 1982 FA Cup semi-final â History >>> Baggies eyeing big finish â Interview >>> Brooks in charge â Referee TuesdayTeam News: Hard to envisage it being anything other than the same team again tonight. Joel Lynch is having another one of his sabbaticals and Angel Rangel remains sidelined so presuming weâre sticking with the back three itâs highly likely to be Furlong-Leistner-Hall again. Jordan Cousins impressed against Bristol City and Watford so should keep his place in midfield with in-form Luke Freeman and Mass Luongo, ahead of Josh Scowen with Geoff Cameron still injured. Matt Smith has eight goals and eight assists in his last 16 appearances for Rangers and is likely to lead the line again despite the head wound suffered early in the cup game on Friday night. Tomer Hemed has made substitute appearances, but looks a long way shy of match fitness. Dwight Gayle is spending two games on the naughty step after admitting a charge of âsuccessfully deceiving a match officialâ with his game winning dive against Nottingham Forest a week ago. To be fair, you can successfully deceive Lee Mason by waving a pastry around in the air so two games seems a bit harsh to me. Matt Phillips missing out on a return to his former club with an ankle knock seems as good a chance as any to bring back Simmoâs classic âif I pulled out as often as Matt Phillips I wouldnât have to sit in the fucking family standâ line again. Because why the hell not? James Morrison hasnât been able to get a babysitter for tonight and Hal Robson Kanu is deciding whether or not he can be arsed. Elsewhere: Although Frank Lampardâs Derby County are hosting the Millwall Scholars tomorrow night there are no other fixtures in the Lancashire and District Senior League tonight. I know, I canât believe it either. Referee: John Brooks was perfectly okay with Angel Rangel kicking people straight in the face in his own penalty area last time he was here. Hopefully heâll be feeling all benevolent again tonight. Details. FormQPR: Rangers have won just two of their last 11 games, both in the FA Cup. In the league they havenât won since beating Ipswich on Boxing Day seven games ago, and theyâve lost the last five in a row. If they lose again tonight it will be the fourth time in just over two years that the club has lost six consecutive league games. Itâs not about to get a lot easier either with fourth-placed West Brom in town tonight, then a trip to fifth-placed Middlesbrough, followed by a home game with second-placed Leeds a week today. The Râs are eighteenth on 39 points, ten points north of the relegation zone with two games in hand on third-bottom Reading, including tonightâs. Reading backwards in time starting last season the Championship safety mark has been 42 (one more win), 51 (four more wins), 41 (two more draws), 42 (one more win) and 44 (two more wins). Peterborough went down with 54 points the year before that which is five wins from 15 remaining games.
West Brom: The Baggies are fourth, theyâve only lost seven times this season and only Norwich have scored more than their 64 goals. Theyâve won nine times away from home already this season, more than anybody else in the league, and only lost four times on the road at Middlesbrough, Wigan, Hull (all 1-0) and Blackburn (2-1). They have had something resembling a wobble since Harvey Barnes was recalled by Leicester in January, with four wins from 11 games, but only three of those have been lost and one of those was after extra time to Brighton in the FA Cup. Theyâve won three and drawn one of their last four away games and havenât conceded a goal in any of them â 2-0 at Bolton, 0-0 at Brighton, 1-0 at Stoke and 2-0 at Villa. Prediction: The winner of our Prediction League this year gets goodies from our generous sponsor Art of Football. Get involved by lodging your prediction here or sample the merch from our sponsorâs QPR collection here. Reigning champion Elliott tells us⌠âThis is a really tough time to be a QPR supporter at the moment. I just feel like everything is going against us. Slipping down to 18th doesnât look pretty and Iâd definitely take a point against a team fighting for automatic promotion here. That being said, I donât think weâll have enough.â Elliottâs Prediction: QPR 0-2 West Brom. No scorer. LFWâs Prediction: QPR 0-2 West Brom. No scorer. The Twitter/Instagram @loftforwords Pictures â Action Images Action Images Please report offensive, libellous or inappropriate posts by using the links provided.
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