| Remaining games thread ***updated 25/4/18*** 20:14 - Mar 30 with 23042 views | 442Dale |
Below are the remaining fixtures for the six sides around us. Three will be relegated with Bury. It allows us to see who everyone has to play and will be interesting to watch as the games count down over the next few weeks.
Oxford 53 points
Rochdale h
Blackburn a
Wimbledon 50 points
Wigan a
Doncaster a
Bury h
Walsall 48 points
Northampton h
Bradford a
Fleetwood a
Dale 48 points
Oxford a
Charlton h
–––––––––––––––
Oldham 48 points
Doncaster h
Northampton a
Northampton 46 points
Walsall a
Oldham h
MK Dons 42 points
Scunthorpe h
Shrewsbury a
Bury (relegated)
Correct as of 10pm 24/4/18 [Post edited 25 Apr 2018 13:12]
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| Remaining games thread on 20:20 - Mar 30 with 13548 views | RAFCBLUE |
The pure statistic of 6 home and 3 away games for us gives us a chance.
If we can produce 9 halves of football at home like today's second half we have a great chance of staying up.
The three away games are free hits; any points at bury, Peterborough or Oxford are going to be a bonus. |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 20:24 - Mar 30 with 13524 views | 442Dale |
As posted:
We will need 52 points I think. Getting to 43 with 5 games remaining would have been a personal preference before the Walsall game.
At that stage we had 26 points with 16 games left. 12 points from 7 games since then, so 5 from the next 4 required. Anything else is a bonus. | |
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| Remaining games thread on 20:24 - Mar 30 with 13497 views | Nigeriamark |
I also think Oxford will be OK with all those home games & probably Walsall (although it would be good for Portsmouth to beat them tomorrow). I would imagine at least 1 other team will have a decent run. Northampton & MK Dons definitely have tough run ins so as long as we can put a decent run together it is on of Oldham or Wimbledon who we need to slip up ( Oldham play us and Wimbledon away - Huge games) |  | | |
| Remaining games thread on 20:31 - Mar 30 with 13483 views | TVOS1907 |
JFH will do well to hang onto his job at Northampton at this rate. |  |
| When I was your age, I used to enjoy the odd game of tennis. Or was it golf? |
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| Remaining games thread on 20:32 - Mar 30 with 13481 views | 442Dale |
| Remaining games thread on 20:31 - Mar 30 by TVOS1907 |
JFH will do well to hang onto his job at Northampton at this rate. |
Bunney was dropped today and they welcomed back David Buchanan. | |
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| Remaining games thread on 21:02 - Mar 30 with 13398 views | D_Alien |
Our superior goal difference to all our rivals is the equivalent of an extra point
3-1 instead of 2-1 today helps
We'll probably need to catch either MK Dons or Wimbledon, both on 42 pts from 39 games with goal differences of -13
If they continue to average 1.077 pts per game, over 46 games that's 49.5 pts
On that (highly provisional) basis, 50 pts would be enough |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 22:14 - Mar 30 with 13302 views | Shun |
| Remaining games thread on 20:32 - Mar 30 by 442Dale |
Bunney was dropped today and they welcomed back David Buchanan. |
Apparently he’s been terrible in all but his first two games there. |  | | |
| Remaining games thread on 22:17 - Mar 30 with 13291 views | DaleiLama |
| Remaining games thread on 22:14 - Mar 30 by Shun |
Apparently he’s been terrible in all but his first two games there. |
He was a bit spotty for us before he left too ...... and not in the acne department! |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 22:54 - Mar 30 with 13171 views | dingdangblue |
| Remaining games thread on 21:02 - Mar 30 by D_Alien |
Our superior goal difference to all our rivals is the equivalent of an extra point
3-1 instead of 2-1 today helps
We'll probably need to catch either MK Dons or Wimbledon, both on 42 pts from 39 games with goal differences of -13
If they continue to average 1.077 pts per game, over 46 games that's 49.5 pts
On that (highly provisional) basis, 50 pts would be enough |
Mk Dons next 2 games are massive for us : Blackburn h and Wigan a - we couldn't have asked for more at this stage. |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 23:01 - Mar 30 with 13149 views | pnc4eva1 |
Season after season the final points total for safety has been 50. Even if its 51 this season we would need four wins and a draw from 9 games. |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 23:42 - Mar 30 with 13060 views | D_Dale |
| Remaining games thread on 21:02 - Mar 30 by D_Alien |
Our superior goal difference to all our rivals is the equivalent of an extra point
3-1 instead of 2-1 today helps
We'll probably need to catch either MK Dons or Wimbledon, both on 42 pts from 39 games with goal differences of -13
If they continue to average 1.077 pts per game, over 46 games that's 49.5 pts
On that (highly provisional) basis, 50 pts would be enough |
It IS all highly provisional, but the recent form of MKD - 11 points from their last six matches - suggests they will avoid the bottom four.
From their last six matches, Northampton and Walsall have each managed 3 points, and Wimbledon 5. Their fans' bottoms must be getting squeaky.
On the other hand, Dale's form isn't bad (in the context of a relegation dog-fight), with 9 points from the last six games (won 2, drawn 3, lost 1). An average of 1.5 points per game for the remaining nine should be - just - enough to avoid the drop. The trouble is that this season Dale have been more than usually unpredictable.
Any indication of the odds from the bookies on which clubs will go down? They are more often right than wrong (as today when the odds on a Dale win were shorter than those for a Shrews win). |  | | |
| Remaining games thread on 10:39 - Mar 31 with 12762 views | rochdaleriddler |
| Remaining games thread on 23:42 - Mar 30 by D_Dale |
It IS all highly provisional, but the recent form of MKD - 11 points from their last six matches - suggests they will avoid the bottom four.
From their last six matches, Northampton and Walsall have each managed 3 points, and Wimbledon 5. Their fans' bottoms must be getting squeaky.
On the other hand, Dale's form isn't bad (in the context of a relegation dog-fight), with 9 points from the last six games (won 2, drawn 3, lost 1). An average of 1.5 points per game for the remaining nine should be - just - enough to avoid the drop. The trouble is that this season Dale have been more than usually unpredictable.
Any indication of the odds from the bookies on which clubs will go down? They are more often right than wrong (as today when the odds on a Dale win were shorter than those for a Shrews win). |
Fleetwood
1/100
Oxford Utd
1/14
Walsall
1/5
Oldham
4/11
AFC Wimbledon
4/7
Rochdale
4/7
MK Dons
7/4
Northampton
5/1
Bury
150/1
To stay up, skybet |  |
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| Remaining games thread on 11:01 - Mar 31 with 12719 views | DaleiLama |
| Remaining games thread on 10:39 - Mar 31 by rochdaleriddler |
Fleetwood
1/100
Oxford Utd
1/14
Walsall
1/5
Oldham
4/11
AFC Wimbledon
4/7
Rochdale
4/7
MK Dons
7/4
Northampton
5/1
Bury
150/1
To stay up, skybet |
So the bookies have it as a coin toss between us and Wimbledon. Tails. | |
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| Remaining games thread on 11:28 - Mar 31 with 12644 views | Nigeriamark |
| Remaining games thread on 11:01 - Mar 31 by DaleiLama |
So the bookies have it as a coin toss between us and Wimbledon. Tails. |
Agree with their bottom 3. Would also put Oldham into the coin toss too ( not sure how you do it with 3 teams) [Post edited 31 Mar 2018 11:29]
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| Remaining games thread on 12:43 - Mar 31 with 12543 views | EllDale |
Northampton are now in the mire big time.
Only two homes games left. | | | |
| Remaining games obsession! on 16:46 - Mar 31 with 12223 views | D_Dale |
With a few minutes to go, Walsall's awful run could continue as Pompey lead 1-0. | | | |
| Remaining games obsession! on 16:54 - Mar 31 with 12196 views | 442Dale |
| Remaining games obsession! on 16:46 - Mar 31 by D_Dale |
With a few minutes to go, Walsall's awful run could continue as Pompey lead 1-0. |
Great result. 6 defeats in last 7 games for Walsall now.
Portsmouth took over 1400 there today, so another big away following should be present on Saturday - with even more if they beat Wigan on Monday. And they won't be playing for a draw as the race for 5th and 6th is very close.
Also worth noting again what a massive say we'll have in the play-off places, with games against 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th. | |
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| Remaining games thread on 17:24 - Mar 31 with 12107 views | frenzied |
It’s in our hands which is the best we can hope for at this stage....4 points from the next 3 games would be a decent return .
Bar Mk Dons fixtures plenty of head to heads amongst the bottom 7. | | | |
| Remaining games thread ***updated 2/4/18*** on 17:05 - Apr 2 with 11615 views | 442Dale |
Northampton looking in serious trouble now. Oxford definitely involved, Blackpool to be added on Saturday should they lose again. | |
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| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:33 - Apr 3 with 11183 views | 442Dale |
Table 3rd March
13 Walsall 35 11 11 13 47 49 -2 44
14 Southend United 34 12 8 14 42 54 -12 44
15 Doncaster Rovers 35 10 12 13 43 44 -1 42
16 Oxford United 34 11 9 14 49 51 -2 42
17 Blackpool 34 10 12 12 42 44 -2 42
18 Oldham Athletic 34 10 9 15 48 58 -10 39
19 AFC Wimbledon 35 10 8 17 34 46 -12 38
20 Northampton Town 35 10 8 17 34 56 -22 38
21 Fleetwood Town 34 10 7 17 45 56 -11 37
22 Milton Keynes Dons 35 7 11 17 32 48 -16 32
23 Bury 34 7 8 19 28 50 -22 29
24 Rochdale 30 5 11 14 29 41 -12 26
Table 3rd April
16 Blackpool 40 11 14 15 46 52 -6 47
17 Oxford United 39 12 10 17 55 61 -6 46
18 Walsall 39 11 11 17 47 58 -11 44
19 Oldham Athletic 38 11 10 17 52 66 -14 43
20 AFC Wimbledon 39 11 9 19 37 50 -13 42
21 Milton Keynes Dons 40 10 12 18 40 54 -14 42
22 Rochdale 38 9 14 15 40 46 -6 41
23 Northampton Town 41 10 10 21 36 69 -33 40
24 Bury 40 7 9 24 32 61 -29 30
We've gone from 12 points from safety to a single point in a month. | |
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| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:55 - Apr 3 with 11022 views | D_Alien |
When were we last out of the bottom two? Seems like an age | |
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| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:55 - Apr 3 with 11020 views | Fondles |
Dale now 3/1 for relegation.
Would like to think bookies know their sh*t.
Gillingham have gone from 66/1 to 33/1 with that result |  | | |
| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:56 - Apr 3 with 11018 views | TVOS1907 |
| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:55 - Apr 3 by D_Alien |
When were we last out of the bottom two? Seems like an age |
Not that long since - 10th March when we beat Rotherham. | |
| When I was your age, I used to enjoy the odd game of tennis. Or was it golf? |
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| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 23:00 - Apr 3 with 10972 views | D_Alien |
| Remaining games thread ***updated 3/4/18*** on 22:56 - Apr 3 by TVOS1907 |
Not that long since - 10th March when we beat Rotherham. |
Ah, thanks
How long since we were out of the bottom three?   | |
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