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Reply | Le Tissier Bringe Political Protest to St Marys Stadium
at 15:30 28 Jan 2025
SO if employers would have given pay rises (assuming income tax increased and not em'er NIC) why would that have been more affordable?
Wages and tax and not drivers of inflation. They are products of the economy and they get measured in terms of RPI etc, but are not in the arithmetic of inflation.
Recession is a product of more than one quarter of economic stagnation or retardation. etc will be a factor there (higher wages means higher prices) but it is one of thousands of items and on its own not likely to move the dial.
And Council tax is not a tax - it's a duty or impost because it comes from legislation which permits local and not national control. |
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Reply | Le Tissier Bringe Political Protest to St Marys Stadium
at 14:34 28 Jan 2025
Sainsbury's have used the Employer NIC increase as a convenient hook/excuse for getting rid of a business that has been losing money for several years.
Unless you shop in Sainsbury's you're not going to go there for tea/coffee/pastry/breakfast etc. |
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Reply | One for those who know the LOTG
at 13:06 28 Jan 2025
There is some evidence that refs are biased toward "successful" teams, especially when they are playing at home.
Generally however, whilst I think many refs are short of the required standard, bias makes very little difference over a season.
(And we should abandon VAR) |
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Reply | Dibbling on his way to Spurs ?
at 13:03 28 Jan 2025
I'd have thought City is better.
They probably need some rebuilding and an English recruit may help in their CL ambitions?
I know that Dibling is similar in many ways to Grealish but let's be honest, Grealish has been underperforming for at least the last three seasons.
(Never been a fan of his). |
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Reply | Le Tissier Bringe Political Protest to St Marys Stadium
at 13:01 28 Jan 2025
I'm not an economist - I work in tax - so I may not be qualified about macro economic effects but I can speak to the question of the effect of tax increases.
This Gov't has a philosophy of "growth". In seeking to fulfil that, they are skirting dangerously close to the sort of plan Truss wanted to adopt.
A profitable small company employing a few people is facing an increase in employer NIC. On average about 3% of the total payroll bill. (Made up of an increase in headline rate and a lowering of threshold). That 3% qualifies for tax relief at circa 20% so the net effect is a 2.4% increase in payroll costs.
So if the business employed say 5 people at the average wage (around £35k), that's £4,200 a year in additional NIC.
If that business turned over £750k in sales, (I've assumed that is payroll costs x 3 plus £225k for the owners profit), then each sale would need to increase by just over half of one percent.
So something they sold last year for £100, needs to be £100.50 this year.
So it's not these tax increases driving inflation or causing firms to lay people off or putting strain on the benefit system. It's other inflationary pressures such as raw material costs, interest rates, transport charges increased by fuel costs, etc.
Whilst I do not work in the area of small businesses I can appreciate how tough it is out there and I do not doubt that the Gov't (as well as the previous administrations) could and perhaps should adopt some mitigation plans.
We are however seeing the effects of austerity and the consequent under investment in businesses over the past two decades and more which inevitably results in higher running costs now. We also see that failure to take action sooner on those infrastructure projects we love (NHS, road, rail, local Government services) now means that we are funding them from current income (tax).
Much of Europe is in the same boat and US will be if the Orange Felon continues his misguided policies. |
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Reply | Dibbling on his way to Spurs ?
at 10:08 28 Jan 2025
Would be a very odd signing for Spurs.
They are leaking goals and probably about to sack the manager and are more in need of defenders than midfield/strikers.
Plus as is said above, Levy is not going to pay top dollar for an injured teenager who has not done a full season.
I can see KWP going to Spurs though. |
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Reply | If Bournemouth can do it with gates of 11,000 why can't we.
at 10:05 28 Jan 2025
No doubt we have a better match day revenue but we also have other sources and I suspect that the proportion of game day income to overall income is not so very far from the numbers I quoted.
The important number to consider is how many people buy the merch.
Marketing 101 is that people buy merch from successful brands and presently we are not and B'muff are. |
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Reply | Juric
at 17:59 27 Jan 2025
Juric should be looking at Forest and B'muff for the sort of football we need to scrape a few points.
Both of them play a game which embraces a bit of chaos but at the benefit of playing some exciting football.
True the wheels came off for Forest at the weekend and they will for B'muff at some point in t he next few games, but hopefully they will continue to do what they do.
Forest are all about low block and when they get the ball just forward as fast as possible. B'muff are high block and winning the ball in the opposition third. They also have strikers full of confidence.
What if we said the AA, Sulemana, etc that their job was high block and winning the ball and were supported by the midfield?
What would we lose if that meant we were a little short at the back. We can't stop goals going in even when we have 9 at the back! |
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Reply | If Bournemouth can do it with gates of 11,000 why can't we.
at 15:57 27 Jan 2025
The fans turning up every other week ceased to be a significant proportion of overall income, many seasons ago.
In 22/23, B'muff averaged £210k in ticket sales, per match. That's around £4m a year.
Overall turnover was £141m.
They do have a good back room staff from talent spotting to analysis to business. |
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Thread | One for those who know the LOTG
at 15:48 27 Jan 2025
The red card to the Arsenal full back last weekend.
The PL says that the tackle was late, high (above the ankle) and reckless and therefore amounted to violent conduct.
The pundits/managers say that it was nowhere near the Arsenal goal and therefore was not a denial of a goal scoring opportunity and was a yellow at best.
My view is that a red for violent conduct does not need the "denial of opportunity" as well. If it's violent conduct, it's a red anywhere on the pitch.
Was it violent conduct?
It was high. There did not seem to be much force, more of a trip. (PL players go down at the slightest hint of contact anyway so perhaps in their little pink fluffy precious world, it was "violent"). Was it reckless? Not for me. It was not a wild two footed lunge but a trip.
I think overall the lad was unlucky.
I do guarantee that if he had been a Saints player, it would have been red all day. |
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Reply | Le Tissier Bringe Political Protest to St Marys Stadium
at 08:23 27 Jan 2025
The tax issue on farmers is around whether they should pay inheritance tax when the farm is passed on to the younger generation.
It's not an annual income or wealth tax.
Agricultural property has been exempt from IHT for decades, but that exemption is being removed/reduced.
So farming families are concerned that they may have to sell land to pay this tax - or go out of the sector.
You can make a case either way on this one.
The "protest" parties and general agitators (which these days might include the Tories and Reform perhaps) see an opportunity to put the Gov't of the day in the spotlight for [unfair/damaging/vindictive - delete as required] treatment and some of them probably care little and understand less about the farmers situation. |
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Thread | When does admitting guilt become not admitting guilt?
at 11:48 22 Jan 2025
I see that the case brought by Tom Watson and an individual who used to be a prince but is now not, has been settled with the Sun et al admitting unlawful practices but not conceding that senior execs knew about/condoned the use of illegal means to gather stories.
Given that the "crusade" by the ex prince and ex MP has always maintained that it's not about the money but accountability - and I see are now asking the Gov't to take action to apportion blame on a non UK citizen - does this settlement represent a win or a defeat for the crusade?
I'm very much not a fan of the monarchy or the present political system which seeks to elevate some to MPs and given them all sorts of protections. I am in the camp of saying that if you choose a certain lifestyle or job then it comes with obligation and public scrutiny sometimes and that is a price to be paid.
In the case of the ex prince, accepting that he did not choose his birth, the story is a little different but people such as him have been subject to intrusive headlines and stories for hundreds of years and have dealt with it. (Sometimes with fatal consequences for the story writers). He though seems to be a sensitive soul - or perhaps just needs the money.
Either way his glorious and shiny campaign has ended up grubbing for money.
Any views? |
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Reply | Personal freedom v obligation to your country
at 17:30 21 Jan 2025
Don't have an issue with changing times. Don't have an issue with young people being a little "bold" with the older generation.
However not all change is good.
Some changes are - in my view - likely to damage many of the things I care about.
For example, we in the UK are I think generally thought of in the world as being honest (too honest sometimes) and fair and able to balance positions and make a choice that is as free of bias as we can allow.
That reputation relies upon the younger generations building on it into the future.
The internet is a dangerous tool here and many younger people would rather believe some unattributed, keyboard warrior, with unknown motives spouting his/her particular version of the truth than actually listen to those who may have a bit more experience.
I can't change that but iut does not mean that I should not try to point this out to people. |
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Reply | Is Ramsdale the keeper he was or is he simply behind an utterly pathetic defence
at 08:51 20 Jan 2025
GK's need confidence in their defence and their own ability. Letting in goals every week is not going to help.
The fault for the long range efforts could be laid with defenders backing off and allowing the shot to be made.
For a keeper, a shot coming from 20 yards, through players legs is effectively a shot from 12/15 yards which may suddenly change direction if deflected.
So for me these were errors by the defenders.
The one that went at his chest before he threw it in the net, was perhaps one for the bookmakers. |
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Reply | Nottingham Forest Game Matchday Thread
at 08:46 20 Jan 2025
For me the fact that Sulemana and Ugo were on the bench at the start shows that Juric has given this a little thought.
Forest are counter attackers who like to win the ball in their own half and get forward quickly. Somebody like Sulemana may be fine for getting past the defender one time in three/four, but the times he loses it gives Forest a platform. Ugo is not the sort of player to be much help as he also gets dragged forward.
Look at the first Forest goal, simple thro in and our midfield was still jogging back and trailing their guy with the ball! With Sulemana et al that would have happened time and time again.
Only when Forest ran out of gas was it a gamer for those mentioned. |
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Reply | How long before Juric gets p*ssed off
at 17:01 16 Jan 2025
I see us getting relegated this season (what? surely not 901?)
Next season I think we are a mid table Champ team.
Recruit well and use the parachute payments and we can push for promotion in May 2027. |
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Thread | Lies, damned lies, statistics and now football data
at 14:57 16 Jan 2025
Shortly before I terminated my subscription the The Times (because I'm bored with every story they carry being twisted into an anti Labour rant) I was following a series of articles about football and in particular the PL.
These stories are fed by endless statistics about which teams play more long balls, more passes in the final third, use a low/mid block, choose to put cream on their scones before jam etc.
I have also been speaking with a coach of an under 15 side who I am considering helping out. He shocked me a little by having something similar on his team and said that it helps him and the boys understand whet they do well and not so well.
I understand that the fashion in the USA for a long time has been to reduce their sports to numbers but to be honest something like baseball is well suited to it. Games like football which are perhaps more dynamic and less predictable are not (in my view).
I fear that the focus on data and percentages is going to see 95% of professional players become all the same shade of grey and the teams all play the same way and frankly it'll become boring (like baseball).
Are we in danger of having the game reduced to data points - in which case why bother playing, just have the managers play Top Trumps |
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