Despite fears to the contrary the chances of Swansea City being relegated are apparently so beyond it is virtually impossible. Your eyebrows are now raised, I see that but history states it’s a nigh on impossibility with so many games to go until the end of the season. So, let’s have a look if that’s the actual reality.

Remember we are talking the Swans here, and if a trend needs to be bucked …

The last two season are a rough guide, but there are other stats to prove the thoeory. Last season the championship table finished as below. The Swans were a better side last season than this, for us that’s not even a sensible argument to have. Here are the bottom handful of clubs.

Than the season before, like this. Not much difference at the end of the season above, and if we gauge the previous two campaigns there is little to worry about. All seems well, nothing to fear and talk of relegation would be dismissed.

Covid affected the 2020 table throughout and when it ended the placings were somewhat of an anomaly. We really can’t give this season much consequence for the Swans. But there will be others.

Pre covid the championship again ended as pretty much predicted. However this was the strongest championship for years.

Let’s quickly have a look at how strong this league was ! It’s astonishing how just a few years back which sides were actually fighting for a premier league place.

In 2018 we saw a familiar finish.

That’s the previous five seasons accounted for but we can look back further. At the end of the 2017 season we do see something’s which could concern the supporter who still feels the Swans are in danger. However, even the dogfight between Blackburn Rovers and Nottingham Forest ended both clubs on fifty one points. Two goals the difference keeping Forest up.

The season ending 2016 most certainly should add some confidence even the most negative of Swansea City supporter. This was the season Burnley went up as champions and Middlesbrough as runners up.

We are getting some years away from now but 2015 saw Bournemouth and Watford go up. Forty one points escaped relegation.

2014 : Leicester City are champions and Burnley go up as runners up. Forty four points and a decent goal difference keeps you up.

2013 : The season the Swans won the League Cup. Wolves get relegated ! Bristol City as well in a high points scoring season, this is the warning sign for Russell Martin.

So, should we really be concerned ?. The key thing here is the Swans have a very decent goal difference, many of these seasons reflect differently for the bottom three. That goal difference really is worth a point.

What do you think will happen this season ?

Click here –> Swans going down ?

Artwork by Swansea Independent

Freelander added 05:39 - Mar 2 If no investment comes in to improve the squad for next season yes I feel that the club will face relegation as them two in Levein and Kaplan are not got much interest in the club and they will let others do the talking for them as to make money for thyere investors out of the club them Americans are bleeding the club dry and if the worse comes to the worse and the Swans did face relegation you will not see thyere backsides for dust and will sell the club then we will know what they wonted out of the club .

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ReslovenSwan1 added 22:42 - Mar 2 Kaplan and Levien probably make their money out of the famous 28 not out of Swansea city. K and L probably run some sort of fund including DC United for their investors. The investors probably pay them an annual fee of 2% or similar. In my assessment they have taken a hit on Swansea city seeing a 60% drop in valuation and still paying a fee. Assume they invested $1m in the Swansea fund. this would be now worth say $350k . For this fund they would have to pay K and :L about $7k each. ($196k total nice work). So why are they not screaming abuse at K and L? It is probable they also have money in DC United and while Swansea has gone form £100m to £35m in six years DC has gone from $50m to $630m in ten years. No wonder Levien looked pretty chilled in his kitchen in his Swansea polo shirt. If you combine the two with $1m in each for the lovely Mindi Kallin. Her $2m invested with K and L in 2012 would be worth $13.6m today. The fees might come down for bigger sums. A lot of probablys' in there but a different view point which you can believe or disregard at your convenience.

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