| Relegation Chances Slashed 11:27 - Apr 24 with 5624 views | sparkey |
Our statistical chances of being relegated have gone from 46% to 3% after last weekend. |  | | |  |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 11:40 - Apr 24 with 5511 views | slmrstid |
Where there's a will there's a way  |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 11:54 - Apr 24 with 5406 views | daveB |
for the last 7/8 games it was only ever going to take 1 win to put us virtually safe, laughable that we made this so difficult.
This weekend is the key one now, get a point at Stoke and that should be us safe especially with other teams playing each other. |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:13 - Apr 24 with 5308 views | robith |
So you're saying there's a chance |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:29 - Apr 24 with 5179 views | Rs_Holy |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 11:54 - Apr 24 by daveB |
for the last 7/8 games it was only ever going to take 1 win to put us virtually safe, laughable that we made this so difficult.
This weekend is the key one now, get a point at Stoke and that should be us safe especially with other teams playing each other. |
indeed if Millwall can draw or better at Blackpool on Friday it eliminates Blackpool from catching us mathematically... If we screw up against Stoke on Saturday, Wigan could help us out with a win at Reading... (Its last chance saloon for Wigan). |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:58 - Apr 24 with 5085 views | kensalriser |
I think the 43% is the change from last week, so our chances of relegation have gone from around 5.25% to the current 3. |  |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:00 - Apr 24 with 5054 views | sparkey |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:58 - Apr 24 by kensalriser |
I think the 43% is the change from last week, so our chances of relegation have gone from around 5.25% to the current 3. |
Nah, gone from 46% to 3%.
Do you really think after the Norwich game, being one point above the drop, our chances were only 5% | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:12 - Apr 24 with 4996 views | SydneyRs |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:00 - Apr 24 by sparkey |
Nah, gone from 46% to 3%.
Do you really think after the Norwich game, being one point above the drop, our chances were only 5% |
Especially as everyone would have had us down to lose at Burnley. | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:15 - Apr 24 with 4969 views | loftus77 |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:29 - Apr 24 by Rs_Holy |
indeed if Millwall can draw or better at Blackpool on Friday it eliminates Blackpool from catching us mathematically... If we screw up against Stoke on Saturday, Wigan could help us out with a win at Reading... (Its last chance saloon for Wigan). |
Yep - the more I think about it (too much...), the Blackpool v Millwall Friday night game is the key one for me (if we're in the game of needing help from others...).
As you say, if Millwall fail to lose , it 'takes Blackpool out' as far as we're concerned but, crucially, it would give Wigan ('perky' and in-form) a growing possibility of a great escape if they can go on to beat Reading on the Sat (which would be nice of them).
If Blackpool beat Millwall, they are still potentially a problem for us (gd) but their win would also surely snuff out any hope Wigan had before going to Reading on Sat. There would be too much for the Latics to do. [Post edited 24 Apr 2023 13:17]
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:56 - Apr 24 with 4780 views | Runner14 |
After the home defeat to Millwall in February I thought we looked so poor that I took a look at the relegation odds & saw 33-1 with Sky so I had a £15 punt...so if the worst did happen at least I would get my ST paid for. Prior to the Saturday game I was offered cash out of £147.92 ! Post Burnley cash out now £11.07...so the bookies think relegation now unlikely. |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 16:00 - Apr 24 with 4464 views | Harbour |
Do we think Reading will get a win at Huddersfield on the last day? Unlikely but then us winning at Burnley was a coupon buster. If Huddersfield need a result I can’t see Reading getting anything. Blackpool a concern I agree need Millwall to get a draw there as last game pool at Norwich you could see a win there. Hopefully we get at least a point at Stoke but given how up and down we have been that’s not certain. | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 16:39 - Apr 24 with 4317 views | Boston |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 11:40 - Apr 24 by slmrstid |
Where there's a will there's a way |
erm, where there's a Martin there's a way. | |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 17:45 - Apr 24 with 4196 views | Hayesender |
The most telling thing about all of this, if we manage to stay up, it'll only be because of points deductions |  |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 17:46 - Apr 24 with 4195 views | PinnerPaul |
8/1 6th favourites now | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 19:52 - Apr 24 with 4080 views | kensalriser |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:00 - Apr 24 by sparkey |
Nah, gone from 46% to 3%.
Do you really think after the Norwich game, being one point above the drop, our chances were only 5% |
I'm sure you're right as Huddersfield at one point above and a game in hand are currently at 28%. The way the stats are quoted are ambiguous though.
Still sceptical at the 3%, that's certainly not reflected in current bookies odds! | |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 20:07 - Apr 24 with 4014 views | Juzzie |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 17:45 - Apr 24 by Hayesender |
The most telling thing about all of this, if we manage to stay up, it'll only be because of points deductions |
We basically need to finish no lower than 19th or if we do finish 20th or 21st, then 7 points ahead of Reading and 4 ahead of Wigan to avoid that embarrassment.
[Post edited 25 Apr 2023 15:06]
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 20:14 - Apr 24 with 3976 views | kensalriser |
Who fancies this on an accumulator?
Rotherham v Cardiff D
Blackpool v Millwall H
Reading v Wigan H
Stoke v QPR H | |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:31 - Apr 25 with 3603 views | Bluce_Ree |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 13:56 - Apr 24 by Runner14 |
After the home defeat to Millwall in February I thought we looked so poor that I took a look at the relegation odds & saw 33-1 with Sky so I had a £15 punt...so if the worst did happen at least I would get my ST paid for. Prior to the Saturday game I was offered cash out of £147.92 ! Post Burnley cash out now £11.07...so the bookies think relegation now unlikely. |
I seriously thought about taking that bet at 33-1 as well but it would have been a whole thing signing up for a site and all that shite so I didn't and massively regretted it until we beat Burnley. |  |
| Stefan Moore, Stefan Moore running down the wing. Stefan Moore, Stefan Moore running down the wing. He runs like a cheetah, his crosses couldn't be sweeter. Stefan Moore. Stefan Moore. Stefan Moore. |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:48 - Apr 25 with 3510 views | QPROslo |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 20:14 - Apr 24 by kensalriser |
Who fancies this on an accumulator?
Rotherham v Cardiff D
Blackpool v Millwall H
Reading v Wigan H
Stoke v QPR H |
Not being a gambling man I don't fancy that at all. | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:52 - Apr 25 with 3484 views | robith |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 12:31 - Apr 25 by Bluce_Ree |
I seriously thought about taking that bet at 33-1 as well but it would have been a whole thing signing up for a site and all that shite so I didn't and massively regretted it until we beat Burnley. |
I took a tenner at 25s in February - the plan being if we went down it paid for the day for my squad to go on a bloodletting piss up | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 19:37 - Apr 25 with 3064 views | WestonsuperR |
I nearly put a fair bit on us at 10’s, I know others that have us at 22’s.
3% chance is way off, we are more than capable of losing the last 2 which leaves Reading only needing 4pts and they play Wigan (h) and away to Hudd who may already be safe. Blackpool could catch us also. I’d say 20% a more accurate figure. |  | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 22:58 - Apr 25 with 2832 views | kensalriser |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 19:37 - Apr 25 by WestonsuperR |
I nearly put a fair bit on us at 10’s, I know others that have us at 22’s.
3% chance is way off, we are more than capable of losing the last 2 which leaves Reading only needing 4pts and they play Wigan (h) and away to Hudd who may already be safe. Blackpool could catch us also. I’d say 20% a more accurate figure. |
All true but three other teams who have been rubbish all season also need to get past us. | |
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| Relegation Chances Slashed on 02:11 - Apr 26 with 2714 views | SydneyRs |
Early in one of our previous second half of season collapses I got 150/1 on us going down. As the weeks went by it got closer and closer to happening before we got a win with 2 or 3 games left. I would have won around $9k Australian dollars if we'd gone. | | | |
| Relegation Chances Slashed on 06:18 - Apr 26 with 2616 views | Lblock |
The key game down here for me is Chef Utd v Hudds and it’s a real pisser that game in hand so late in season
Should Hudds lose that then they absolutely must beat Reading last game; win it and they could play out a draw IF Reading beat Wigan
I think Chef will already be mathematically up by the time this game comes around (although Lootown continually winning is helping); if so I’m sure they’ll do uncle Neil a favour in team selection and performance
However… as it has been all season – it’s in our hands so just win one more bloody game you bastards!!!!!! |  |
| Cherish and enjoy life.... this ain't no dress rehearsal |
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