Forum | So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 by Dr_Parnassus

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So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 02:51 - May 2 with 13903 views

Firstly congratulations to Steve Cooper, the players and everyone at the club for not only reaching the playoffs for the second consecutive year, but amassing a points tally equal to our record best in this division, held previously by our incredible Brendan Rodgers side the year we went up.

We do have a chance to topple that record with any kind of positive result against Watford next week.

2011

2021

Not only is the points tally being exactly the same pretty remarkable, but also the fact we were going in with the best defensive record and yet the worst (joint) scoring record. Whether or not you like the style, like the manager - the blueprint has been very similar with regards to that.

But now the playoffs have been decided and we can look ahead...

The worst possible result for us sadly. They are one of those teams we don’t seem to do well against and think it’s fair to say that on paper have the strongest squad in the playoffs. Our last 6 meetings:-

Bournemouth 3-0 Swansea
Swansea 0-0 Bournemouth

Bournemouth 1-0 Swansea
Swansea 0-0 Bournemouth

Bournemouth 2-0 Swansea
Swansea 0-3 Bournemouth

0 goals scored. 9 goals conceded.

As many may have gathered by now I approach football the same way as I do with most aspects of life, methodical with a focus on statistics, trends and probabilities.

That premise suggests that you want to avoid the best team over the longest period of time. If you must meet that team then you have a greater chance to beat that team over a shorter period of time.

For example if Man City played Sheff United over a 90 minute match, they would probably be in the region of 1/10 to win, if the rules of the game made that a 180 minute match the odds would probably be 1/20, because the longer the time you have the more chance that the class difference will tell.

So ideally we would have wanted them in the final where aspects such as luck can play a part and not have chance to even itself out over the longer course of 2 legs.

So it’s going to be tough. But not impossible. We had a similar route in the Carling Cup where we were faced with playing Chelsea over 2 legs which set up an easier final. So it’s not out of the question.

Bournemouth rested a host of players against Wycombe yesterday and will probably do so again next week. We didn’t rest as many as I thought we would so would like to see that happen next week, which really is a dead rubber. It would be pretty galling to pick up an injury or red card.

All that is left to play for is home advantage in the second leg.

What will be will be. But whatever happens from here on in, this has been yet another successful season.

[Post edited 2 May 2021 3:06]

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:07 - May 8 with 1006 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:07 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Hahahahahaha dear me

Gotcha.

Apology accepted.

[Post edited 8 May 2021 16:08]

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:08 - May 8 with 1002 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:07 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
Gotcha. Apology accepted. [Post edited 8 May 2021 16:08]

Pardon?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:09 - May 8 with 998 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:08 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Pardon?

Gotcha.

Apology accepted

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:10 - May 8 with 993 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:09 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
Gotcha. Apology accepted

Have you lost your marbles or something

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:12 - May 8 with 987 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:10 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Have you lost your marbles or something

No. I explained it perfectly.

It reduced you to the post you made.

My response was perfectly apt.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:14 - May 8 with 981 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:12 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
No. I explained it perfectly. It reduced you to the post you made. My response was perfectly apt.

Yes, you’ve lost it.

Quite sad actually.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:17 - May 8 with 975 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:14 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Yes, you’ve lost it. Quite sad actually.

I love the fact you and your mate came on here the second we secured our favourable playoff route with thoughts only for the great Dr P... only to realise you are arguing against maths and are getting all frustrated.

Voderman is shaking her head at the pair of you. You have not only disappointed me but also the great Carol.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:26 - May 8 with 964 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:17 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
I love the fact you and your mate came on here the second we secured our favourable playoff route with thoughts only for the great Dr P... only to realise you are arguing against maths and are getting all frustrated. Voderman is shaking her head at the pair of you. You have not only disappointed me but also the great Carol.

Trust me when I say here, I’m far from frustrated. You on the other hand though, are full of rage at this moment in time.

“So it’s Bournemouth”

Barnsley v Swansea May 17th

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:32 - May 8 with 953 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:26 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Trust me when I say here, I’m far from frustrated. You on the other hand though, are full of rage at this moment in time. “So it’s Bournemouth” Barnsley v Swansea May 17th

Rage? Frustrated? Don’t be so daft.

Maths is in my corner and will always prove me correct. I have no need to feel either, science shows I’m spot on.

The article absolutely was Bournemouth, what’s the point in making it about a team we had a slim chance of playing?

Don’t let this frustration get the better of you like your mate. You will be sending me embarrassingly deranged PM’s next.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:43 - May 8 with 945 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:32 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus

Again, zero frustration from me. Far from it actually!

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:45 - May 8 with 936 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:43 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Again, zero frustration from me. Far from it actually!

I disagree.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:49 - May 8 with 921 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:45 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
I disagree.

Another wrong call to be added to the ever growing list.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:50 - May 8 with 915 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:49 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
Another wrong call to be added to the ever growing list.

Not sure you can have a list of zero.

I don’t think the list will be starting on this one either somehow...

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:57 - May 8 with 896 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:50 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus
Not sure you can have a list of zero. I don’t think the list will be starting on this one either somehow...

“Mind Blindness”

To be expected.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:01 - May 8 with 889 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 16:57 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54
“Mind Blindness” To be expected.

“Frustrated anger”.

It most certainly is to be expected. I can only imagine how I would feel if I thought my one and only time to prove someone wrong that I have become obsessed with, ended up in me realising I was arguing against a mathematical statement of fact and he was right all along.

I can only imagine how you feel.

Tomorrow is a new day. Dust yourself down and go again.

[Post edited 8 May 2021 17:05]

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:08 - May 8 with 876 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:01 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus

[Post edited 8 May 2021 17:05]

This is what I mean about the rage going through you as we speak. You’re absolutely livid and you’re thrashing out, don’t worry about it mun. Calm yourself. You should be used to it by now

Final word as I don’t like to keep beating the same drum....

“So it’s Bournemouth”

Source BBC Sport: Swansea City will face Barnsley in the Championship play-offs after ending the regular season with a defeat at promoted Watford.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:14 - May 8 with 868 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:08 - May 8 by 34dfgdf54

This is what I mean about the rage going through you as we speak. You’re absolutely livid and you’re thrashing out, don’t worry about it mun. Calm yourself. You should be used to it by now

Yes. You mean several things, the majority of it abject nonsense after realising you are wrong.

“So it’s Bournemouth”, he’s the article was about Bournemouth, the team we had 79.1% chance of facing in the play-offs.

Again, it’s clearly stated we may well face Barnsley, but it’s the most unlikely of the scenarios.

Just like it was the least likely outcome that we would replace Forest in the play-offs prior to the Reading game. It is still the least likely out of the possible outcomes.

Until you grasp that very basic principle you will be chasing your tail with me. I’m sure you have realised that by now.

There’s always next year.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:28 - May 8 with 845 views

splJack

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:14 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus

Relax DR. Why not just admit you jumped the gun and got it wrong with your playoff prediction.

Its no big deal and certainly not worth beating yourself up over it, we all make mistakes. Nobody here really cares anyway.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:30 - May 8 with 835 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:28 - May 8 by splJack
Relax DR. Why not just admit you jumped the gun and got it wrong with your playoff prediction. Its no big deal and certainly not worth beating yourself up over it, we all make mistakes. Nobody here really cares anyway.

I didn’t jump any gun. Or make any predictions.

I gave the mathematical probabilities of the different scenarios that were left to us and concentrated on the most likely outcome.

Surely this isn’t that difficult is it?

Maths is not a mistake. Maths will tell you that you are incredibly unlikely to win the mega millions lottery... if you do go on to win it, maths didn’t make a mistake, it was correct. You were 1 in 300 million.

[Post edited 8 May 2021 17:34]

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:34 - May 8 with 827 views

splJack

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:30 - May 8 by Dr_Parnassus

[Post edited 8 May 2021 17:34]

Ok so you made a statement based on probabilities, that was wrong - Like I say, nobody really cares mate.

No need to work yourself up.

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:35 - May 8 with 825 views

Dr_Parnassus

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:34 - May 8 by splJack
Ok so you made a statement based on probabilities, that was wrong - Like I say, nobody really cares mate. No need to work yourself up.

No statement. A post concentrating on the most probable route in the playoffs.

No need to get so mad at it.

	Swansea Independent Poster of the Year 2021 and 2022.
Poll:	Would you swap Ayew for Piroe?

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:35 - May 8 with 825 views

34dfgdf54

So it’s Bournemouth... plus we equal 2011 on 17:34 - May 8 by splJack
Ok so you made a statement based on probabilities, that was wrong - Like I say, nobody really cares mate. No need to work yourself up.

I agree spl. It has been rather tragic how bad he has taken it.