Harry’s Spurs return offers handicap value — betting

QPR are long odds to win at White Hart Lane this Sunday despite their impressive recent additions. That makes the R’s good value in the handicap betting, according to professional odds compiler Owen Goulding.

QPR don’t have to travel far for their first away day since returning to the Premier League. A short trip north of the city sees them take on a Spurs side undergoing a mini-revolution of their own under the guidance of new boss Maurcio Pochettino. The prices on this game don’t seem right to me though…

Tottenham are a best priced 1/2, with a massive 7/1 available for a QPR win. Yes Spurs deserve to be favourites and it may well be too soon for some of QPR's excellent recruits to take to the field but I have to admit the price on Spurs to win feels much too short. A stuttering performance in their opening game at West Ham saw Spurs claim a last gasp victory (albeit playing an hour a man down), and then again a lacklustre performance in Europe vs minnows AEL Limassol leads them to this game. Spurs lost only five games at home last season and therefore deserve favouritism here, but based on squads, the prices should be closer.

QPR played well at times against Hull and in truth were unlucky to lose - Harry will be hopeful Rangers can get something out of the game on his return to White Hart Lane. Team news of note for QPR is that Eduardo Vargas is unlikely to start which is a great shame. Maurcio Isla and Leroy Fer should figure though- which should do wonders for the Rangers ball retention percentage. Spurs will be missing Kyle Naughton through suspension but otherwise should be at full strength, but I remain to be convinced about this new era of Spurs. They may win, but it will be closer than the prices suggest. Therefore my bet for this game, albeit not a big price, is QPR +2 on the handicap. Which means your bet wins as long as Spurs don’t win by 2 or more goals.

QPR +2 on Handicap - 8/13 - Ladbrokes.

Elsewhere my bet of weekend failed last week with Stoke putting in a poor performance so I am dropping down a few leagues for this week’s suggestion. As has been the case all season, bookmakers are constantly under-pricing Luton. It seems to have evaded people that they sold their 23 goal top scorer from last season and have yet to replace him. They travel to an Accrington side who have started the season terribly, but with a couple of key defenders expected to return, I can see them getting off the mark shortly, and they shouldn’t be as big as 21/10 at home for this one.

Bet of Weekend - Acrrington to beat Luton - 21/10 — BetVictor

For my big price goal scorers this week, I'm staying in the lower leagues also:

Matthiu Baudry Anytime scorer - Orient v Walsall - 12/1 (PaddyP)
Sean O Hanlon Anytime Scorer - Carlisle v Southend - 12/1 (WHill)

Bad week last week but hopefully we will turn it around this week.

Happy Punting.

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