QPR chance of winning depends highly on current in-form squad of players Morale, Fitness level and Opta stats or similar.
As it is, add Gabbiddon/ back up and rest of 1st choice of players/ with their respective backups Versus any opposition (in respect of player's position) are mostly (~) equal in terms of 'skill' and 'tenacity'.
Counteracting factor as follows:
1. Morale. How to get this aspect into squad? Guilt i.e urge to avenge humiliating lost with Fulham, a draw with minnows Blackburn, Warnock's/ CEO frustration in their face, fans demands 110% performance disregard end result & need of getting better contract value by end of day thus respect.
Have to see also, how long player's gone 'buzzing' with such good result like last Sunday. More longer not good, players went partying for over a week after win with Wolverhampton and failed on next match. Hopefully they're training hard right now prepping up for Totenham after last Monday night binge SWP's 30th birthday.
2. Training ground limited access for input, we will never know what's really going on down there. Therefore it is hard to gauge whether they're in good shape or not. All we can do is to equate Fitness with Morale level (as of above no.1).
Injury case might not be as big factor now compared with few weeks ago, we have Helguson, Hill, Mackie and Hall (getting good each game albeit slowly) as back up. Still doubtful on Orr, he seemed like one of Bolton type, Puncheon and likes.
3. History or Statistic of both teams. For example, Warnock never won match at Craven Cottage which reflects a great probability of low confidence among them on that particular day lost a drubbing 6-0, based on previous match record QPR held advantage over Chelsea in more wins at Loftus Road Stadium thus a win on last Sunday.
Other corresponding aspect:
a. As an Underdog? If Betfair gave us a poor 9/1 it means we are underdog against team like Chelsea, which is conducive in morale and tenacity. Odds are even with Blackburn beforehand, thus giving a signal of "not a big deal" match thus ended a draw.
b. Home or Away match, another affecting factor but not as great as above. QPR is strong club in many ways, their biggest problem are themselves. A kind of Achilles-archythepal own doings.
c. Taarabt factor. Through Warnock's formation of 4-2-3-1, Club accidentally developed a kind of messiah around him also Barton actually depends on him in many aspects but of course he will deny this at first glance. Just make sure he stays in focus. Lesser extent, check on Derry and Faurlin also.
Fans and Related Atmospheric Circumstances have direct influence and considered as 'Automatic' in relative, Is greater at home but as Equal in away matches unless a revamp on visitor seat allocation.
Note: These are probably good around 25% of chances in getting either win or loss only not numerical result also up until January just before next transfer window. Rest of 25% maybe from you guys. ~25 + 25 + 1% of luck = 51% prediction.
Sounds crazy, I guess... |  |
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