QPR finally have some good news to shout about ahead of Monday’s trip to Watford, with great white hope Ilias Chair signing a new four-and-a-half year contract.

Watford (13-8-5, LLWWWD, 4th) v QPR (6-9-10, LDDWWL, 19th)

Mercantile Credit Trophy >>> Monday February 1, 2021 >>> Kick Off 19.45 >>> Weather — Overcast >>> Vicarage Road, Watford

At the end of a month where Queens Park Rangers had drawn criticism, fire and legitimate questions about their recruitment and retention, you could almost feel a palpable relief from senior club executives and the media team when they were able to reveal this week that Ilias Chair has signed a four-and-a-half-year contract with an option for a fifth. Think of the coats he’ll be able to buy with that. I suspect we’re only ongoing lockdown restrictions away from seeing him carried aloft through the streets of Shepherd’s Bush King Julien-style, Les Ferdinand leading the procession, pointing and shouting “see, SEE, LOOK” to the bemused patrons of Quashie’s Roti Hut.

Ilias, to this point, is a QPR success story: well scouted, initially, in Belgian backwater Lierse SK; excellent development, including a well-timed and highly productive Football League loan at Stevenage; ample first team opportunities, with little periods out of the side here and there when form and fitness dipped slightly; contracts renewed regularly, and in good time. After the Bright Osayi-Samuel fiasco, Rangers needed something like this to dick swing about, and that made the timing of this week’s new deal perfect in more ways than one.

On the pitch, there is still development work to do. He can be guilty of taking too long, too many touches, on the ball when early service would benefit the strikers more. It can sometimes feel like he’s too single minded in trying to get a 25-yard shot away when there are better options available, and moving the ball quickly would open up further opportunities. He’s good in space, but less effective when teams crowd the ground around their own penalty area, as Derby did so effectively last weekend. But he’s already a lovely player to watch, and once again we’re seeing a young lad grow into himself and this level of football as his senior appearances tick through 50, 100 and 150. Ilias has made 81 starts and 22 sub appearances in his senior career now, and he’s obviously better now than he was 40 games ago, already matching last season’s goal tally of five and hopefully progressing further still as we move through 100 appearances towards 150.

Off the pitch, nobody can say enough about the lad. The word you hear over and over again about him is “driven”, as I guess you’d have to be to make it as a professional footballer, in a notoriously physical league, in a foreign country, at five feet two inches tall and having started out playing football in concrete cages on Antwerp housing estates. The tiny, chubby kid had been written off plenty, and thrives on it. There’s a humbleness to him that will stand him in good stead, he’s a regular with the club’s Community Trust, and as the eldest of five brothers back in Belgium he’s a natural with the younger supporters, as demonstrated when he dropped in as a surprise guest on this year’s Open All R’s half term podcast. Given the context, his “I think it's what the fans deserve and what the club deserves from my part” line upon signing this week felt very pointed.

All of this sounds very Ebere Eze, of course. The trajectory, so far, has been almost identical, right down to the teenage nights spent playing cage football, the eye-catching lower league loan and attractive off-field personality. It’s easy to say Chair will never be as good as Eze, he’s at a significant physical disadvantage for a start and he’s certainly got a long way to go as Ebere’s latest wonderful Premier League goal for Palace against Wolves this weekend demonstrates. But Eze is 60-odd senior appearances in front of Chair development wise, and there were plenty of doubts kicking around about him in the 50-80 appearances period.

QPR need a similar outcome, not only because their team at the moment is desperately short on quality and an existing player growing into Eze 2.1 without costing anything would be enormous in the short and medium term, but also because, as we always say, the most obvious way Rangers can get themselves out of their current malaise is to buy low, develop, sell high, and reinvest shrewdly. Not once, or twice, but over and over and over again. Chair’s five-year deal does not, should not, mean he’s here for five more years. More that if he continues to develop like this, then a couple of years down the line we’ll be able to command the sort of money we weren’t able to extract for Osayi-Samuel and Manning, and then reinvest that in four or five other prospects.

Whether that has been done well enough post Eze departure is the big debate of the moment. You could see the thinking with a lot of the signings, there’s still plenty of time for Lyndon Dykes to turn things around, Chris Willock is promising, Rob Dickie is a perfect example of what we should be doing, and Seny Dieng’s development, loans and contract status has been well managed. There are assets on our slate. The team, however, has been left short in key areas. We see it in games, week after week, and we’ve seen it this month in our transfer activity, which continued this week with the addition of 30-year-old Stefan Johansen on loan from Fulham.

It’s worth bearing in mind that we’re approaching the one-year mark of QPR last having a proper crowd at a home game. Rangers were already struggling with financial losses, profit and sustainability rules, historic FFP breaches, income, turnover, revenues and all the rest of it when 13,000 of us were going to Loftus Road a couple of times a fortnight. That Eze money, as we said in September when it became clear that Covid-19 wasn’t going away anytime soon, has more likely become a lifebelt to keep the club afloat, rather than a war chest to go into Championship battle with. I suspect a good chunk more of it may have been spent on prospects were these normal times, instead we have the cool lad with dreadlocks partly to thank for making sure we still have a club on the other side of this.

Nor is Johansen a particularly bad signing per se. Certainly the general consensus on the other side of Hammersmith Broadway is that his legs have gone, but QPR have done quite nicely in recent years supplementing a young team by eking out the last drops of football from old pros like Angel Rangel and Geoff Cameron, whose previous clubs also thought they were done at this level when releasing them. He plays a position we were weak in anyway, even before Luke Amos and Little Tom Carroll got crocked, and he’s a known protagonist of exactly the sort of shithousery and dark arts you need in a Championship relegation battle, and that QPR have palpably lacked for many months now. You can’t bitch and moan about how nice we are, how we need to commit more tactical fouls, how quiet the team is, and how short the midfield looks, and then be sniffy about Stefan Johansen because he does at least tick those boxes.

Nevertheless, it has been frustrating to watch promising prospects of exactly the pedigree we should be chasing moving out of League One and Two to exactly the sort of non-parachute payment receiving Championship clubs like Blackburn and Preston we should, in theory, still be capable of competing with, all the while we’re scraping around for loan signings well past their best to sticking plaster long-known issues with our team. Mumbled pre-match complaints about having to play this Watford game in the run up to the transfer deadline only have me rolling my eyes further back into my head — we have known about our problems, in midfield, at full back, for months, and we have had all of this month to correct them. If having to play a game on transfer deadline day throws a spanner in the works then the machine was pretty busted anyway.

A Championship club that spends its January loaning Charlie Austin, Jordy De Wijs and Stefan Johansen - who've played precious little football between them this season - is not one for whom the season has gone well, or the pre-season plan worked and been a success. When the time does come to sell Chair, Dieng, Dickie, or whoever it may be, we have to be better at that.

Links >>> Home and away — Interview >>> Mad Malian — History >>> The best a ref can get — Referee >>> The view from the Pu — January >>> Watford Official Website >>> WFC Forums — Message Board >>> Watford Observer — Local Press >>> Voices of the Vic — Podcast

Geoff Cameron Facts No.128 In The Series — Geoff wouldn’t slide into someone's DMs whether Jordy De Wijs scores or not.

Below the fold

Team News: QPR have added 30-year-old Fulham shithouse specialist Stefan Johansen to a midfield depleted by long term injuries to Luke Amos, Charlie Owens and most recently Little Tom Carroll. Johansen has only made five starts for club and country in the last five months, so whether he’ll be able to go straight in, and how long he’ll last if he does, remains to be seen. The ten-card yellow card amnesty comes after the thirty seventh fixture of the season so he'll have to go some to trouble that. Other than that, expect much the same team as the one that lost 1-0 to Derby last week, with another new arrival Jordy De Wijs still nursing a calf injury he arrived with an unable to participate at the moment. Lee Wallace is back in training following a phone call from Andy Sinton as part of the Community Trust’s R You OK? lockdown welfare outreach campaign.

Watford ended the unsuccessful loans of James Garner and Glenn Murray as the end of the transfer window drew close, but have been able to add experienced Bournemouth midfielder Dan Gosling to their number in time for this one.

Elsewhere: Further comings and comings at Nottingham Florist who seem think they're putting together a cast for a Ben-Hur remake rather than assembling a functioning squad for a competition that only permits 11 players to take to the field at any one moment. Brighton’s Glenn Murray and Man Utd’s James Garner have both ended unhappy loan spells at Watford to head to the Midlands for unhappy loan spells at the City Ground. With Filip Krovinovic also coming in temporarily from Benfica to join Luke Freeman, Anthony Knockaert, Cafu (not that one) and Cyrus Christie, that’s now seven loaned players in a league where only five can be selected in the matchday squad. Former Man Utd trainee Nikolas Ioannou, one of 14 summer signings, is already back on loan in Cyrpus four months into his four year contract. Harry Arter, another of the summer intake, is in talks over a pay up and didn’t make the bench for Saturday’s big 0-0 home draw with Barnsley. Loyal Taylor an unused sub. Coventry A and Wycombe A their next two games.

Wayne Rooney’s Derby County continued their upward momentum with a home win against Bristol City on Saturday — a third consecutive 1-0 victory. They’ve paid their players up to date and exited from a transfer embargo just in time to make as many as four signings ahead of tomorrow’s deadline, according to Mr Potato Head, but they’re selling the family silver to do it with two graduates from their excellent academy side, Kaide Gordon and Morgan Whittaker, being sold to Liverpool and Swansea respectively. Another nasty looking injury for star midfield man Krystian Bielik as well — just four defeats in the 14 games he’s played in this season, and one of those was when they played Preston with ten men for more than an hour and lost in injury time.

More troubling news for QPR fans of a nervous disposition as managerless Sheffield Blue Stripes got a 1-0 home win against Preston Knob End, but Birmingham (one win in nine) and Sporting Huddersfield (five defeats and a draw in six) continue to come towards us in the other direction after weekend 1-1 draws with Coventry and Stoke respectively. Rotherham remain third bottom after a comprehensive 3-1 home loss to Swanselona. Bournemouth are really getting into the swing of their 2013/14 QPR tribute act with another limp display and comfortable defeat on the road at fellow promotion chasers Reading on Friday night.

Darnell Fisher impressed on his Boro debut after a canny £300k move from PNE as the Thirteenth Annual Neil Warnock Farewell Tour registered a goalless draw at league leaders Borussia Norwich. Yannick Bolasie is also back at the Riverside for the second half of the season. Big Mick McCarthy’s Cardiff stodgeathon registered a second draw of the week, 1-1 at home to his old club Miwllwawlll (fackin’ ‘ell Wawll) — now eight without a win for the Welsh side. Is anybody actually winning games in the Championship at the moment? Oh yeh, of course, Spartak Hounslow. In all fairness, at 7-2, they probably were the best team Wycombe have played all season.

There’s a round of catch up games in hand taking place on Tuesday and Wednesday this week, with four of the five teams below us in the table and the three immediately above us all in action. Cling on to the rosary beads and hope for the best from Borussia Norwich’s trip to Miwlwllwawwwlll (fackin’ ‘ell Wawlllw) and Sheffield Owls’ trip to accident-prone Bournemouth. Coventry and Florist, Rotherham and Derby, and Wycombe and Birmingham all play each other on Tuesday in a string of six pointers. Worst case scenario (Birmingham, Forest, Rotherham win, QPR lose), QPR go into next weekend fourth bottom, one point outside the relegation zone.

Brentford v Bristol City is Wednesday night’s exciting fixture between two teams beginning with B.

Referee: Australian Jarred Gillett is in charge of this one, just as he was for our last midweeker on Sky at Millwall. That was his first QPR appointment and he was, to be fair, very good. Details.

Form

Watford: Watford have, by far, the division’s best home record so far with ten wins, two draws and a single defeat — 1-0 against Cardiff on December 5. Norwich (eight), Swansea (six) and, bizarrely, Sheff Wed (eight) have all conceded fewer home goals than Watford’s nine, and Brentford (26) have scored more than their 23, but no team can match the Hornet’s 32 points secured at Vicarage Road this season (Norwich have 29, Reading 27). That’s just as well because their away form — 3-6-4 - is the worst in the top half of the table. You have to go all the way down to Luton in thirteenth it find a team that’s taken fewer than Watford’s 15 points on the road, and their record is actually only one point better than our own mediocre haul from away matches. They come into this game unbeaten in four, with three wins and a draw and just one goal conceded. They’ve beaten Barnsley, Huddersfield and Norwich without conceding in their last three home games and are unbeaten on this ground in five games since the Cardiff defeat, four wins and a draw and only the one goal conceded. The Hornets have been awarded seven penalties in their last 17 games, with the last five converted by Troy Deeney and one each for Sarr and Pedro before that. Deeney is their joint top league scorer with six, but five of those have come from the penalty spot.

QPR: Rangers, in stark contrast to their dire home form, are unbeaten in five away from home and have won the last two without conceding, at Luton and Cardiff. The three prior to that had all finished 1-1 at Norwich, Wycombe and Millwall. At Loftus Road they’re without a win in six, losing five (one after extra time) and haven’t scored for five matches. No goalkeeper in the Championship has made more saves in away games than Seny Dieng with 52. QPR won promotion on this ground with a 2-0 win at the end of the 2010/11 season but had lost six of their seven visits here prior to that, conceding three goals in five of those games. This is their first visit here since a 0-0 draw in 2013/14.

Prediction: We’re indebted to The Art of Football for once again agreeing to sponsor our Prediction League and provide prizes. You can get involved by lodging your prediction here or sample the merch from our sponsor’s QPR collection here. Last season’s champion Mase offers us this…

“There was such a slew/overkill of articles about our new loan signing on the official club website this week that I feel I know everything about him bar his dog's name and his favourite ice cream flavour. It would be great to have a few more goals from midfield (or anywhere) so let's hope he can start off with one here. I've got a feeling Watford will be able to hold us at arm's length and continue their good recent form but let's hope that any goal we do manage is more than mere consolation.”

Mase’s Prediction: Watford 2-1 QPR. Scorer - Johansen

LFW’s Prediction: Watford 1-0 QPR. No scorer.

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stainrods_elbow added 16:57 - Jan 31 As the great Samuel Beckett put it, the essentials don't change, in football or anything else. Sad to say, as I've made clear elsewhere, the 'rinse and repeat' orthodoxy now awash on these boards - leaving aside how it privileges a 'business model' over all else like, uh, actually building a football team (as if the 'footballing side' only existed for the sake of the business, not, as Jim Gregory understood, vice-versa) - is not one that is likely to become a formula for the club's upward mobility, just because a few fans have swallowed it hook, line and sinker. As Gerry Francis has made clear - which is hardly reachign back into the misdts of footballing time - if you asset-strip your best players after theyv'e only been around for five minutes, you're likely at best to stagnate, and more likely to decline. We saw it most egregiously at QPR in 1977/78 and 1994/95, with the difference now that it's become a hardwired disease - even Les stayed for 8 years! If we get a decent season or two from any one now, we're supposed to be grateful. Essentially, the Hoos & Les -underwritten model we're infected with now makes Richard Thompson look like the personification of building a footballing empire. The acceleration of modern football, and the conformity of thinking that surrounds it, has really turned it into a kind of farce. And then people wonder why there are no kids wearing Rangers shirts in their necks of the woods! It's utterly amazing how people still don't seem to get it. This isn't a club that, in recent years, has managed to generate competitive fees for its players, nor has it recruited particularly well, and it's unlikely to become a monument to progressive excellence now. We might have the odd success with youth prodigies like Eze or flourishing flowers like Freeman, but if they're then sold for younger/rawer/ unfinished/unfinishable new recruits before they bed into a stable sqaud that grows together, we'll never get anywhere. Nothing good in life is built without time, stability and resilience. If some others want to be patronisingly wrong about this, good luck to them. In the meantime, much as I'd love to join the party surrounding one above average young player signing a 'bumper contract' to allow the club to get, in theory, a decent fee for him that's probably already been arranged with his agent for 6-12 months down the line, it makes me laugh when I read about his love for the badge and then compare it with exactly the same kind of meretricious propaganda that surrounded Freeman's deal. Call me old-fashioned, but it's mainly because I prefer to be treated like an intelligent fan, not a mug.

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Northernr added 17:13 - Jan 31 1 - I will call you old fashioned. Your arguments always draw on examples and quotes from the time of Jim Gregory of Gerry Francis. The sport has changed, the rules have literally changed, they operated before FFP, profit and sustainability, parachute payments. It's a different ball game now. We may not like modern football, I certainly don't, but denying it is what it is, harking back to the 80s for a way of doing things, is like shouting at the moon for being the moon. 2 - Benrahma, Watkins, Maupay, Mepham, Konsa, Sawyers, Woods, Hogan. All their best players at one time or another, all sold, all the money reinvested. Not a lot of stagnation going on there, likely promoted this year, in a new stadium, 7-2 winners yesterday.

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Paddyhoops added 18:17 - Jan 31 I understand stainrods frustrations but we are trying to play within the rules which is good but the frustration of watching other clubs like Forest collecting players like panini stickers. You have to ask the question, are they sticking to the rules?. Debatable to say the least.
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Northernr added 18:25 - Jan 31 Forest have some big sales on their slate. Some of the legit - Matty Cash, £14m, Villa - some of them less so - Arvin Appiah, £8m, Almeria. They're bent, it's crooked, it's nothing to aspire to, but they did create wiggle room in FFP by..... selling players for big money so they could spend. The more you sell, the more money you get, the more you can spend. THose are the rules. That's football now. It is not 1984 or 1995 any more. It's a shame it's not, but it's not.

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QPR_Pricey added 23:04 - Jan 31 Quashie’s Roti Hut - best ever!! That's got a sad story similar to modern football business
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TacticalR added 00:31 - Feb 1 Thanks for your preview. All the scorers in our 6-1 win over Cardiff a year ago (Wells, Eze, Bright) have gone. In retrospect, we sold too many goals out of last season's team. We didn't cough up for Hugill or Wells, and couldn't get Kieffer Moore. Now we are having to paper over the cracks with Charlie Austin in attack, and Stefan Johansen in midfield because of injuries. Bringing through new prospects isn't as easy as it looks. Hopefully, Austin and Johansen will get us through to the end of the season. My main concern has been that our sellable assets (Eze, BOS, Chair, Dieng) are all from the pre-Warburton era.

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francisbowles added 11:44 - Feb 1 We all 'get it', Stainrod's Elbow. However, we are realists, knowing that without the business model, we are unable to sustain a club, let alone build a team. We would all love to be able to keep our best players but it just isn't feasible for a variety of reasons that have all been discussed as infinitum on here, which you don't seem to be able to grasp. We have a strategy. We have made mistakes along the way, mainly when we have veered of course. We must stick to the plan we now have. It is a long game and we have to hope we are good and lucky enough to bring through some youth players and not have them stolen by some big club's tempting offers. Our current 'sellable assets' have all been recruited from other clubs as development squad players and we have had to improve them, before they were ready for our first team. Our major strength is that we can point to a pathway to the first team and we have to continue to build our track record and reputation for producing good young footballers. We have to get better at improving the 'unfinished articles' that have been acquired and have gone straight into our squad. It is the only way we can survive in the short term, whilst trying to improve the team and build our revenues in the medium term.

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Toast_R added 13:55 - Feb 1 Selling this sh*t to the punters is the biggest dilemma the club will soon face. How man will bother coming back after Covid? As Stainrod has pointed out, where are the next generation of supporters coming from with this crap being served up season after season with no get out? Out best players, often loaned in are here for a season tops and anyone who's half decent will be gone in the next transfer window as well. It's a shite state of affairs.

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Northernr added 15:27 - Feb 1 Yeh it is, like so much of the modern game.
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Patrick added 19:11 - Feb 1 You could argue that if we'd hung onto Eze as assist man to Dykes and Bonne things would look very different. On the other hand, if we hadn't sold Eze they wouldn't be here in the first place.... We are truly between a rock and a (very) hard place. So let's cling to the rock.
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timcocking added 23:34 - Feb 1 That Watford shirt should be considered a felony...
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timcocking added 23:35 - Feb 1 No, we couldn't have clung on to Eze
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