 | Forum
Thread | Congratulations Chelsea
at 18:23 3 May 2015
This thread is a public health service to allow you to express your inner feelings about this magnificent achievement.
Personally I just feel numbed by this season to the extent that I find myself just not particularly caring (that much). |
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Thread | Red cards for denying a clear goal scoring chance
at 09:00 20 Feb 2014
Always seems too much to me. And cheats the fans in my opinion.
Last night's Arsenal game was a good example. A great game ruined as a competitive spectacle by the sending off.
I'd much rather just have a penalty and a yellow. With one addition, if a clear goal scoring opportunity is denied outside the box I would still give a penalty for that.
I think that would address the issue much better.
What do you think? |
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Thread | Unignoring
at 19:19 22 Jan 2014
I think I have accidentally 'ignored' one of LFW's fine posters. Can anyone help me understand if it is possible to unignore?
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Thread | Words I think are made up that I f'ing hate
at 19:54 3 Sep 2013
Gotten
I'm sure that got is the past tense of got so why lengthen it? Just put it in the right part of the sentence.
Thank you, just wanted to share that. |
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Thread | The way we are conducting our business
at 22:24 7 Aug 2013
I'm really happy with how we seem to be conducting our transfer business. Thinking specifically about the 'leavers'.
I'm sure that if we hold our nerve, even if we can't shift our decent but over paid players, come January, they will all look very alluring to whoever is in the bottom 5 in the Prem.
It's the big benefit of the backing we have. Basically, no paper is labelling us as a crisis club, or panic selling.
Satisfying. |
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Thread | Just two players from greatness
at 22:28 28 Oct 2012
A mate of mine asked me about the Rangers the other day. I said that we were struggling and really needed two massive defenders this Jnauary to sort out all of our troubles.
Upon hearing this he laughed and said that there was not a fan in the country who doesn't think that two players won't sort out their team's problems.
Never one, never three, always two.
I think he's right. But I also think that I'm right.
Just two, it will all be fine..... Until we need two more. |
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Thread | The best thing about all these signings ...
at 19:26 30 Aug 2012
... is reading the spittle firing outrage from fans of 'top clubs'. "The QPR don't deserve this" comments, or "these players are wasting their talents" I despise these people. In my mind they are always the plastic fans. I want to ignore them but they pi ss me off so much.
What they actually mean is that they signed up to an age old covenant - 'I'll support a big club because they win and that makes me a winner' they don't like it when this gets upset and a club starts spending money that they don't feel deserves to.
I love it when a smaller club starts spending money, creates a better league and more interest all round.
They can all go fcuk themselves. |
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Thread | MATCH THREAD - Sunderland
at 06:50 24 Mar 2012
Is it too early to start this (or too late?)
My old enemy 'hope' is back.
Come on your R's |
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Thread | Today, I shall mostly be ....
at 11:09 24 Oct 2011
Whistling happy tunes.
Holding my head up high.
And if I wore a hat, wearing it at a slightly jaunty angle. |
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Thread | I wish I worked with normal people ....
at 12:26 3 Oct 2011
At least I might understand the piss taking.
Below an answer to a question I asked about some figures from work this morning....
Shaun,
The most important thing is to have a prediction and calculate the variation from that prediction. If you also know the random variation in the sample that you are measuring (as per Malcolm’s email), assuming that is normally distributed (ie. bell shaped) you can see if the actual value is more than 1.96 times (basically twice) the standard deviation. If it is, you can be pretty sure you’ve had an effect.
For something like web visits, you will also want to make sure you look at the business performance of that channel only, otherwise it will be drowned out by the other channels.
I’ve got a little example below for you re: the calculations of standard deviations. The example I’ve chosen is a random Premier League football team’s results.
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Goals Scored Goals Scored Home / Away
QPR 0 Fulham 6 A
QPR 1 Aston Villa 1 H
QPR 3 Wolves 0 A
QPR 0 Newcastle 0 H
QPR 0 Wigan 2 A
QPR 0 Rochdale 2 H
QPR 1 Everton 0 A
QPR 0 Bolton 4 H
QPR 0 Cesena 1 A
Average 0.6 1.8
Standard Deviation 1.0 2.0
Average (exc. Last game) 1.3
Standard Deviation (exc. Last game) 1.3
Low End 0 0
Top End 2.5 5.8
Low End (exc. LG) 0
Top End (exc. LG) 3.7
________________________________________
The table basically shows, that you can be confident that 95% of the time, QPR will score between NONE and 2.5 goals in a game. Up until Saturday, you could also be confident that the opposition would score somewhere between NONE and 3.7 goals. However, given the debacle on Sunday which has led to a significantly increased variation, you can be confident that the opposition will score between NONE and 5.8 goals in a game.
I have made a couple of assumptions here. Firstly, that the distribution of scoring goals is normal. This is almost certainly not the case, and it is more likely to be a Poisson distribution. Secondly, the assumption has been made that the teams that QPR has yet to play are as difficult as the teams that have currently been played. Given that the “biggest” name teams they have currently played are Aston Villa and Newcastle, I would suggest that you can be confident that the lower end of the goals conceded will move above NONE as more data points are obtained.
I hope this email (and specifically the example) helps
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