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Not wedded to any theory, but some facts that have emerged that indicate that this is a mixture of factors. In no particular order.
Empty Reservoir, closed for maintenance in the fire season. Cuts to Fire Dept budget Unusually long dry spell Two arrests on suspicion of arson Power Lines Downed High Winds No Brush Clearance Fireworks during the New Year Increased building into the forest
Fires have happened in that part of the world every year for hundreds of years.
I can't see anything but poor economic performance for the first three months of this year as the budget effects come through. Today's bond sale did not go well, I expect that Reeves will end up having to take some sort of action.
They will pay £250M in Corporation Tax if they make the numbers. They could make £750 Million net profit on £6 or £7 Billion turnover but that depends on how the economy goes. Profit could be much less and they will need to reinvest some of the £750M.
I would not like to.be in Retail.
They could swallow the NI increase but if they think can operate by increasing prices there's nothing stopping them.
There's no monopoly or obligation here to buy their goods, if people are happy to buy their goods at a given price then that's up to their customers.