| We are not safe!!! 22:50 - Apr 21 with 17937 views | hopekillsyou |
The premature articulation from many that “ we are safe now” is….err, premature and possibly shows that many Rs supporters can’t add up. We are not out of the shit yet. We need more points , two would do for me , although three would be gilt edged, but my optimism doesn’t run that far.
Wednesday appear to in good shape and Birmingham can be unpredictable.
Blackburn and Plymouth are too close to us. At this stage of the season, strange things happen.
I’m not relaxed, in fact I’m still stressed , wary, apprehensive and very grateful for the Preston keeper. |  | | |  |
| We are not safe!!! on 22:58 - Apr 21 with 9515 views | DylanP |
To be fair, nobody has been saying we are safe. Everyone has been saying we are virtually safe. And that appears to be the case. We just need one of the following four teams to get the same or less points than us in the last two games: Blackburn, Plymouth, Sheff Wednes, or Birmingham. Not all four of them, just any one of them. Statistically, that seems like a good bet, but nobody can be too complacent yet, its true |  |
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| We are not safe!!! on 23:02 - Apr 21 with 9465 views | SydneyRs |
I got 250/1 on us being relegated so the bookies clearly think we are. | | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:06 - Apr 21 with 9433 views | stevenagehoop |
| We are not safe!!! on 22:58 - Apr 21 by DylanP |
To be fair, nobody has been saying we are safe. Everyone has been saying we are virtually safe. And that appears to be the case. We just need one of the following four teams to get the same or less points than us in the last two games: Blackburn, Plymouth, Sheff Wednes, or Birmingham. Not all four of them, just any one of them. Statistically, that seems like a good bet, but nobody can be too complacent yet, its true |
Don’t forget Huddersfield are in it too |  |
| I never lie but I don't always tell the truth |
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| We are not safe!!! on 23:13 - Apr 21 with 9385 views | daveB |
We'll be very unlucky to go down on 50 points, i think we have enough but it will likely go to the last game and one more win for us guarantees it |  | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:14 - Apr 21 with 9372 views | Ned_Kennedys |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:06 - Apr 21 by stevenagehoop |
Don’t forget Huddersfield are in it too |
Huddersfield cannot catch us so we only need to finish above one other team. |  | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:16 - Apr 21 with 9353 views | ted_hendrix |
Right now I would rather be in our position as opposed to the respective positions of Blackburn, Plymouth, Sheffield Wednesday, Birmingham, Huddersfield and Rotherham.
I'd safely bet that right now Blackburn, Plymouth, Sheffield Wednesday, Birmingham, Huddersfield and Rotherham would swop places with Us In a heartbeat. |  |
| My Father had a profound influence on me, he was a lunatic. |
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| We are not safe!!! on 23:20 - Apr 21 with 9341 views | colinallcars |
We need Huddersfield to beat the Brummies next weekend then we should be OK.
Leeds and Coventry are hardly easy games.
I came away from the match yesterday in significantly higher spirits but the realisation has come upon me that there are still obstacles to overcome.
What on earth happened at Blackburn ? |  | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:22 - Apr 21 with 9326 views | hopekillsyou |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:02 - Apr 21 by SydneyRs |
I got 250/1 on us being relegated so the bookies clearly think we are. |
We are 50.0 on Betfair ( Hudds 1.16,Brum 1.85, SW 2.Ply 7.8, Bburn 8.8, Stoke 70.0).
I think we are overpriced at 50.0 and if I wasn’t emotionally involved I would take that price.
250/1 is crazy | | | |
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| We are not safe!!! on 23:44 - Apr 21 with 9212 views | E17hoop |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:14 - Apr 21 by Ned_Kennedys |
Huddersfield cannot catch us so we only need to finish above one other team. |
Hudds can catch us if they can get an 11 goal swing against us. That would mean, however, Birmingham would be on the end of one of those drubbings putting them in a worse place.
Will Weds beat both WBA and Sunderland? I doubt it.
Plymouth could easily lose against Hull and Millwall.
I 'know' we're not guaranteed to stay up yet but the chances of it happening are so slim, anyone offering you over 66/1 you should put a tenner on it to pay for next year's ST. |  |
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| We are not safe!!! on 00:11 - Apr 22 with 9119 views | enfieldargh |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:20 - Apr 21 by colinallcars |
We need Huddersfield to beat the Brummies next weekend then we should be OK.
Leeds and Coventry are hardly easy games.
I came away from the match yesterday in significantly higher spirits but the realisation has come upon me that there are still obstacles to overcome.
What on earth happened at Blackburn ? |
Or we just beat Leeds? |  |
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| We are not safe!!! on 00:19 - Apr 22 with 9090 views | QuillPenRiot |
I have to add a bit realism here…you’re assuming several things. First, the world of football follows statistical laws and, first b, that QPR is somehow representative of all other football clubs and therefore, you have a very healthy fear of upcoming results. Second, you’re looking at a range of diverse outcomes, thinking rationally of the various factors, let’s call them decision points, that will impact our beloved QPR.
I’m sorry to correct you here but life as a QPR fan is a special kind of hell that my daughter witnesses several times a year (it must be past life karma for her). There are only two outcomes, QPR miraculously stay up or, QPR painfully and tortuously to the last match of the season suffer both a Jimmy Dunne miracle shot and ex chelscum Begovic flapper og (thanks Blackburn for the inspiration, and additional way to envision our fall) to combine in the worst possible way ever to be relegated.
It thus comes down to how much we love our team vs the cumulative bad karma over all of our current and previous lives.
We’re pretty much doomed and there’s much to worry about, so I agree with you. [Post edited 22 Apr 0:22]
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| We are not safe!!! on 00:31 - Apr 22 with 9038 views | Boston |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:20 - Apr 21 by colinallcars |
We need Huddersfield to beat the Brummies next weekend then we should be OK.
Leeds and Coventry are hardly easy games.
I came away from the match yesterday in significantly higher spirits but the realisation has come upon me that there are still obstacles to overcome.
What on earth happened at Blackburn ? |
Have you ever posted a message that doesn't contain a mention of alcohol?  | |
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| We are not safe!!! on 05:54 - Apr 22 with 8687 views | Match82 |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:44 - Apr 21 by E17hoop |
Hudds can catch us if they can get an 11 goal swing against us. That would mean, however, Birmingham would be on the end of one of those drubbings putting them in a worse place.
Will Weds beat both WBA and Sunderland? I doubt it.
Plymouth could easily lose against Hull and Millwall.
I 'know' we're not guaranteed to stay up yet but the chances of it happening are so slim, anyone offering you over 66/1 you should put a tenner on it to pay for next year's ST. |
Birmingham and Huddersfield play each other.
Birmingham are 4 points behind, if they lose, they can't catch us
Huddersfield are 6 points behind, if they lose or draw they can't catch us.
Either way we're guaranteed to finish above one of them.
It's the other spot that matters, best chance is to take care of it ourselves obviously. |  | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 06:31 - Apr 22 with 8595 views | SydneyRs |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:22 - Apr 21 by hopekillsyou |
We are 50.0 on Betfair ( Hudds 1.16,Brum 1.85, SW 2.Ply 7.8, Bburn 8.8, Stoke 70.0).
I think we are overpriced at 50.0 and if I wasn’t emotionally involved I would take that price.
250/1 is crazy |
I got those odds shortly after the Blackburn v Wednesday game finished. Put 20 on and will win 5 grand if it happens. Same site now has us at 67/1 last time I checked.
That awful offside decision against Coventry might have been the difference between our game there being hard and it being against their reserves (which come to think of it would still be hard, because its us). [Post edited 22 Apr 8:15]
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| We are not safe!!! on 06:33 - Apr 22 with 8584 views | SydneyRs |
| We are not safe!!! on 05:54 - Apr 22 by Match82 |
Birmingham and Huddersfield play each other.
Birmingham are 4 points behind, if they lose, they can't catch us
Huddersfield are 6 points behind, if they lose or draw they can't catch us.
Either way we're guaranteed to finish above one of them.
It's the other spot that matters, best chance is to take care of it ourselves obviously. |
1-0 Huddersfield would be perfect and end the anxiety. | | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 07:05 - Apr 22 with 8419 views | cpgerber |
Plymouth, Blackburn and Birmingham all on better goal difference as it stands, so they need to finish BELOW us.
The best situation for us is Huddersfield beats Birmingham this weekend and, to add an extra measure, WBA beating Sheffield Wednesday. Even then we're not out of the woods yet, unless we get something from the Leeds game. Then we are 100% safe.
Blackburn could easily lose both remaining games (Coventry and Leicester), so there is an escape option also.
I don't see Plymouth getting nothing from Milwall away and Hull home, so I would guess they would still pick up some points.
Beat Leeds and we're safe, no matter what. Simple as that. |  | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 07:33 - Apr 22 with 8255 views | QPROslo |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:14 - Apr 21 by Ned_Kennedys |
Huddersfield cannot catch us so we only need to finish above one other team. |
They can catch us on GD, though highly unlikely. | | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 07:44 - Apr 22 with 8191 views | captainmycaptian |
Have to admit to singing "the R's are staying up walking down SA Road. I blame the optimistic youngsters. The Blackburn result was bad for us. We need a win from the last 2 to be sure. West brom should win and Birmingham should get something against Huds. This should be enough. Must watch the goal difference against Leeds keep it close maybe nick a draw. A point keeps us above Huds for sure and should mean we stay above Wednesday......
I think ..... | | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 07:48 - Apr 22 with 8139 views | Juzzie |
I cant see us beating Leeds, a draw at best.
Even with their games in hand I can’t see Coventry making the play offs. They now have four games in two weeks compared to our two. Their game against Hull this week will be interesting to see how they react to yesterday.
A draw at Coventry would be good.
52 points and that would need Birmingham to win at Huddersfield, who themselves could survive, and to win at home to Norwich who need to make certain a play off place.
If we draw/lose with Leeds and Huddersfield beat Birmingham then we are safe as I doubt Huddersfield would then win at Ipswich by 7-8 goals (and we lose at Coventry by 2-3 goals.
I think Stoke are capable of getting 3 points on the last day so they’re probably out of the equation.
As others have said, we are in the best position of the lot below us. [Post edited 22 Apr 9:22]
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| We are not safe!!! on 09:11 - Apr 22 with 7675 views | daveB |
What helps us next is we are playing a game where motivation takes care of itself, compliancy was the big issue home to Sheffiled Wednesday but last home game of the season against a team in the top 2/3 that switches the players on so getting a result against leeds is difficult but not impossible, pressure on them at the moment is massive especially if they don't win tonight | | | |
| We are not safe!!! on 09:23 - Apr 22 with 7576 views | bosh67 |
I think Marti will try and instil that the job is not done. We'll beat Leeds because it is the QPR thing to do. But if not Coventry may well be shattered by that game as they still have a lot of games to play (4) but are unlikely to get into the playoffs. May be a good time to play them as the last game if they miss out. |  |
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| We are not safe!!! on 09:32 - Apr 22 with 7506 views | Bluce_Ree |
This is how not safe we are. If we lose and results don't go our way, this is the final day of the season for us.
If we lose and everything goes badly this week in the other games (inc. Brum beating Hudds), it'll look like this.
20 - QPR - 50 (vs Coventry away, 8th)
21 - Sheff Weds - 50 (vs Sunderland away, 13th)
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22 - Birmingham - 49 (vs Norwich, 6th)
23 - Huddersfield - 44
24 - Rotherham |  |
| Stefan Moore, Stefan Moore running down the wing. Stefan Moore, Stefan Moore running down the wing. He runs like a cheetah, his crosses couldn't be sweeter. Stefan Moore. Stefan Moore. Stefan Moore. |
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| We are not safe!!! on 09:38 - Apr 22 with 7434 views | Watford_Ranger |
| We are not safe!!! on 23:22 - Apr 21 by hopekillsyou |
We are 50.0 on Betfair ( Hudds 1.16,Brum 1.85, SW 2.Ply 7.8, Bburn 8.8, Stoke 70.0).
I think we are overpriced at 50.0 and if I wasn’t emotionally involved I would take that price.
250/1 is crazy |
B365 must have realised they’re way out of line with the market. Everyone bar Sky has us at 50 or 66/1.
It would take a fairly extraordinary run of results from here. You can see Brum beating Huddersfield but then have to get something against Norwich.
SW at Sunderland on the last day who seem to have given up but West Brom is a tough game and doesn’t really suit their players IMO.
Plymouth go to Millwall which looks horrible right now and Hull at home is no gimme. Blackburn have dodgy games to say the least. Stoke you can’t really see getting much from those two but who knows at this point?
Plus obviously there’s a chance we might be good enough to get something from Friday against Leeds who play tonight and a hopefully knackered Coventry. | | | |
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