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Kemi Badenoch wins Conservative Party leadership contest ...
at 07:58 4 Nov 2024

It isn't the PC thing to say, but if a certain group of Black MPs ever got real power the White population would be in real trouble. Skin colour is so important to them that they are prepared to portray a violent criminal like Kaba as the innocent target of "racist gang tropes". It doesn't take much imagination to see that reparations, positive discrimination, quotas, looser border controls, harsher penalties for hate speech, rewritten history books, and a steady dismantling of traditional British culture would all be on the agenda.
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Red for Kuharevich
at 19:48 3 Nov 2024

I don't mind a hard man in the Tommy Smith mould who will take man and ball in an (almost) fair tackle. However, today Kuharevich struck me as a dirty player, leaving a foot in whenever he could, or going through the man from behind. He cost Hibs two points with the penalty.
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Red for Kuharevich
at 16:56 3 Nov 2024

Sent off for second yellow and conceded a pen for Hibs against Dundee United. I thought he put himself around in this game, with nasty niggles and tackles. Must own up to potential bias as I have a soft spot for United, but in my opinion Kuharevich deserved his early shower. Could this be a hint of a character issue that explains his problems with Swansea managers?
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January Transfer Window
at 16:04 3 Nov 2024

I agree that a decent midfielder would bring more goals, but I still think we have a weakness in the air when it comes to strikers and do need to strengthen there. Vipotnik has been disappointing when it comes to converting high crosses and Cullen is even poorer in that department.
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US Election thread
at 12:12 3 Nov 2024

Even the polls are all over the place. I was pleasantly surprised to see Harris doing well in a couple of the bellwether states. The result is indeed up in the air.
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15 million migrants got NI numbers in last 20 years
at 12:09 3 Nov 2024

Before Brexit the UK electorate could not hold our Government responsible because the EU acquis made it impossible to act. Now it is within the power of our Government to withdraw from any treaty that prevents it taking action. The last government failed to deal with the problem and they felt the backlash. Labour too will be held accountable in due course.
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All this Budget Speculation
at 21:04 2 Nov 2024

The general principle has been the same since 1948. The war-time Beveridge blueprint for a welfare state envisaged a social insurance model, meaning that money would be accumulated from employment-related contributions in an insurance fund on German lines. However, Nye Bevan opted for tax funding, albeit with part of that labelled national insurance. The key point is that NI funds are collected and spent year by year as collected alongside other tax receipts (i.e. on a pay as you go basis) . Bevan famously said: "The great secret of the Fund is that there is no Fund."
[Post edited 2 Nov 21:08]
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Oxford United v Swansea City : Match day thread
at 14:31 2 Nov 2024

Improved performance that should help build confidence. The downside was that, as in the past ,we did our best to let Oxford back into the game at the end. I've been listening to the Radio Oxford commentators and to be fair they acknowledged that the Us were 2nd best. Very complimentary about the Jacks in the ground getting behind our team.
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Oxford United v Swansea City : Match day thread
at 12:49 2 Nov 2024

Bit of Swansea pressure with two dangerous corners. 2nd Cabango header hits bar/
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Oxford United v Swansea City : Match day thread
at 12:46 2 Nov 2024

Just had a couple of poorly taken free kicks about 30 yards out so far.
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Oxford United v Swansea City : Match day thread
at 12:41 2 Nov 2024

Nothing much happening after 9 minutes.
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Oxford United v Swansea City : Match day thread
at 12:36 2 Nov 2024

Not working for me either on VM. Contrast that with the naughty stream that is working.
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All this Budget Speculation
at 04:52 2 Nov 2024

Now Moody's give their verdict. "In our view, the increase in borrowing, which is in part supported by a new measure of debt under the fiscal framework, will pose an additional challenge for what are already difficult fiscal consolidation prospects."

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/moody-s-says-uk-budget-poses-new-challenge
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Sleepy Joe
at 04:47 2 Nov 2024

The apostrophe wars?

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/white-house-altered-record-of-biden-s-garba
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January Transfer Window
at 04:37 2 Nov 2024

Six goals in Chesterfield's promotion season. About 6 so far this season. Nowhere near as prolific as he was for Macclesfield, so his goal count seems to fall as the standard rises. Would be a punt.
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FA Cup weekend
at 21:40 1 Nov 2024

Another duff result for Duff.
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All this Budget Speculation
at 19:32 1 Nov 2024

JM&B is correct to say that most GPs are independent contractors, akin to small businesses, and it is GP partners/providers working in this way who will be affected by the changes to NI. However some people may be confused because they may have come across GPs who are salaried. With that in mind I amused myself by checking on the current breakdown in Wales.

There are actually several types of GPs you may come across. Most of the figures below are for 2024 in Wales.

• c1130 FTE GP partners/providers (on Welsh Unified GMS contract)
• c380 FTE Salaried GPs (mostly employed by practices using salaried GP model contract. In England some are working for private chains run by companies like Virgin using AMPS [Alternative Medical Provider Services] contracts).
• 414 FTE GP registrars (trainee GPs)
• 11 FTE GP retainers (typically older GPs working part-time to maintain skills)
• 142 FTE active GP locums – temporary cover

Note that FTE numbers are lower than headcount numbers because of part-time working.

https://www.gov.wales/general-practice-workforce-30-june-2024-html#156502
(latest summary stats)
https://www.gov.wales/general-practice-workforce-31-december-2021-html#:~:text=T
(latest detailed report)

• First two categories not separated in 2024 report so are estimated from 2021 year

Additional info on the split between partners and salaried GPs

https://www.bmj.com/content/355/bmj.i5064
https://www.bmj.com/content/366/bmj.l5001
https://blogs.imperial.ac.uk/medical-centre/2022/03/02/should-gps-in-england-be-
https://lowdownnhs.info/explainers/are-gps-already-privatised-or-still-part-of-t

Are there any salaried GPs who work directly for the NHS?

It seems there may be a handful in England, possibly employed under the NHS ARR (additional roles reimbursement) scheme. I am not aware of any in Wales, but am not a specialist in this area.
[Post edited 1 Nov 19:38]
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Sleepy Joe
at 14:10 1 Nov 2024

Like Major, I'm worried that Trump is probably edging things at the moment. It seems to me that the problem of the southern border and Biden's economic performance carry that bit more weight than abortion rights or Trump's position on Ukraine. Guess the best hope is that Reagan Republicans remember they don't like Russia, and Republican women pinch their noses and vote Harris.
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All this Budget Speculation
at 10:11 1 Nov 2024

I think what upsets many people is the contrast between what was said before and then after the election - which is why the "black hole" is mentioned so much. Some of us posted our opinion that any new government would have to choose between service cuts or higher taxation/borrowing. Labour repeatedly said they would not need to resort to either, and that growth would get us out of the hole. Presumably some believed that, and that is why the projections from the OBR and IFS are so concerning. I guess what I'm hoping for is that the 2 year "sugar rush" will defer the pain and that somehow things will turn in our favour before the negatives kick in.
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All this Budget Speculation
at 07:12 1 Nov 2024

The IFS says the government will need to increase taxes by another £9 billion p.a. in two years time to deal with existing budgetary plans to reduce departmental allocations - or in other words to avoid renewed austerity in some areas. Commentators are saying that cutbacks in services then would be hard for Labour to allow, so that further tax increases are the most likely outcome.
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