Final standing Predictions 07:46 - Apr 19 with 2442 views | vanrrrr | Good News: Fivethirtyeight stats nerd model has us safe by a point! https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/championship/ bad news - these are the same analysts who said on election day 2016 HRC would smash Trump. Anyway needed a bit of hope before heading to LR today ... [Post edited 19 Apr 2023 10:30]
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Final standing Predictions on 07:53 - Apr 19 with 2410 views | Northernr | 19 days ago before we played Wigan that lot said there was a 15% chance of us being relegated. | | | |
Final standing Predictions on 08:40 - Apr 19 with 2292 views | stowmarketrange |
Final standing Predictions on 07:53 - Apr 19 by Northernr | 19 days ago before we played Wigan that lot said there was a 15% chance of us being relegated. |
There were quite a few on here that confidently predicted a couple of months ago that we aren’t going to be relegated.I wonder what they’re thinking now? | | | |
Final standing Predictions on 08:42 - Apr 19 with 2285 views | CroydonCaptJack |
Final standing Predictions on 07:53 - Apr 19 by Northernr | 19 days ago before we played Wigan that lot said there was a 15% chance of us being relegated. |
To be fair, that should have been about right to any outsider. Unfortunately most haven't witnessed what we have. I would have lumped on but I can never bring myself to bet against us (no matter how profitable that would have been over the years!) | | | |
Final standing Predictions on 08:43 - Apr 19 with 2276 views | GaryBannister86 |
Final standing Predictions on 08:40 - Apr 19 by stowmarketrange | There were quite a few on here that confidently predicted a couple of months ago that we aren’t going to be relegated.I wonder what they’re thinking now? |
I was one of those who thought we had enough points two months ago, but that was because I thought Reading would get docked 12 and Huddersfield too. Was nothing to do with confidence in the team :-) | | | |
Final standing Predictions on 09:11 - Apr 19 with 2112 views | kropotkin41 | One of our close neighbours, a very clever lady, has recently published a book which points out just what bullsh*t models generally are.... I paraphrase. They're rubbish at predicting the speed at which things get worse.... climate tipping points or QPR melting away unfathomably fast. | |
| ‘morbid curiosity about where this is all going’ |
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Final standing Predictions on 09:13 - Apr 19 with 2100 views | enfieldargh | they also call it soccer | |
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Final standing Predictions on 09:24 - Apr 19 with 2045 views | Lblock | After Wigan's win last night I think we'll finish stone last. Below two teams with point deductions Nice one Bungle and the boys | |
| Cherish and enjoy life.... this ain't no dress rehearsal |
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Final standing Predictions on 09:37 - Apr 19 with 1963 views | PhilmyRs |
Final standing Predictions on 09:24 - Apr 19 by Lblock | After Wigan's win last night I think we'll finish stone last. Below two teams with point deductions Nice one Bungle and the boys |
Don't think it was the worst thing in the world with Wigan winning, keeps them alive (hopefully) for when they're away at Reading. But still think we'll drop as I can't see where any points are coming from. | | | | Login to get fewer ads
Final standing Predictions on 09:37 - Apr 19 with 1962 views | BklynRanger |
Final standing Predictions on 09:11 - Apr 19 by kropotkin41 | One of our close neighbours, a very clever lady, has recently published a book which points out just what bullsh*t models generally are.... I paraphrase. They're rubbish at predicting the speed at which things get worse.... climate tipping points or QPR melting away unfathomably fast. |
The speed at which things get worse is certainly the problem with that 538 prediction I think - we're a whole 2% less likely than Reading to get relegated but the pace of our decline has got to be far greater. Needs a bit of the old mixed methods: if Nate Silver had gone on Saturday he'd just have written 'fcuked' beside our chances. | | | |
Final standing Predictions on 09:40 - Apr 19 with 1946 views | SimonJames |
Final standing Predictions on 09:24 - Apr 19 by Lblock | After Wigan's win last night I think we'll finish stone last. Below two teams with point deductions Nice one Bungle and the boys |
With Wigan's and Blackpool's remaining fixtures, coupled with better goal differences, I wouldn't bet against that. I guess it mainly comes down to whether Millwall start winning again... | |
| 100% of people who drink water will die. |
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