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Final election predictions 19:44 - Jun 7 with 21121 viewsexiledclaseboy

What's yours? What you think WILL happen not what you WANT to happen. Post them here and we can all laugh at the wrong ones on Thursday night/Friday morning.

Tory majority of 53 I reckon.

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Final election predictions on 18:16 - Jun 8 with 1597 viewsDarran

reddythered = blueytheblue = borerythebore

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Final election predictions on 18:17 - Jun 8 with 1589 viewsblueytheblue

borery?

If you're going to insult at least have the respect to not make words up...

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Final election predictions on 18:22 - Jun 8 with 1580 viewsJoe_bradshaw

Just been and voted in Sketty. I've never seen so many people in the polling station and I'm usually the youngest voter there at 60. Large numbers of voters who barely look old enough to vote there today.
Make of that what you will...

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Final election predictions on 18:30 - Jun 8 with 1560 viewsexiledclaseboy

It means that Labour is going to sweep to a historic and shock victory in Swansea West.

Oh. Hang on.

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Final election predictions on 18:30 - Jun 8 with 1559 viewstrampie

Interesting, this election was looking like a boring one - the general consensus at the start seemed to be that there would be a landslide Con win, then as the weeks have gone on the general consensus was downgraded to just a standard Con win but with the Cons and Labour both gaining seats and the smaller parties losing out [with the exception of the SNP - they won virtually ever single seat they contested last time so even losing several seats will still be an excellent performance by them].
So all very boring but just looking at the very latest polls [by some obscure but apparently successful pollsters] then things might not turn out so boring after all, Cons might only win by a smallish majority and the smaller parties might do better than what they had looked like doing at the start of the election.

A hung Parliament would be great fun even more so if the smaller parties do well.

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Final election predictions on 18:31 - Jun 8 with 1552 viewsWarwickHunt

Beat me to it.

Edit: bugger! Meant to quote Clasey
[Post edited 8 Jun 2017 18:45]
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Final election predictions on 18:34 - Jun 8 with 1540 viewsexiledclaseboy

A hung parliament and the ensuing aftermath would be hilarious I must say.

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Final election predictions on 18:39 - Jun 8 with 1524 viewsWarwickHunt

All it needs then is the 25-95 year olds to stay at home...
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Final election predictions on 18:41 - Jun 8 with 1512 viewsblueytheblue

Being fair, his sample size of 1 has shown a 100% turnout. That's impressive.

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Final election predictions on 18:43 - Jun 8 with 1509 viewsyescomeon


Upthecity!

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Final election predictions on 18:43 - Jun 8 with 1508 viewsWarwickHunt

The lad has obviously done his research too...
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Final election predictions on 18:58 - Jun 8 with 1463 viewscentrestandswan

Daily Mail has it sorted

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4583726/Last-polls-suggest-Tories-pulled . No probs'.

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Final election predictions on 19:00 - Jun 8 with 1454 viewsblueytheblue

It'll be all over just after 10pm when John Custice reveals his exit poll.

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Final election predictions on 19:04 - Jun 8 with 1448 viewsJack_Meoff

Under PR you'd have a point bluey old son.

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Final election predictions on 19:09 - Jun 8 with 1439 viewsTheResurrection

So I know this is a bit of fun and a lot of guesswork, but just curious here, what exactly are you basing your figures on?

Because it can't be the relevant campaigns, the unprecedented amount of people following Corbyn around the country, the Facebook comments - surprisingly under publications like The Economist or Financial Times just for example - the live Facebook polls which show Corbyn literally streets ahead, the millions in public office including naturally the NHS, the police, teachers, or the youth who I doubt have given too much away to pollsters over the last few weeks...

What's going on here? Am I alone in my own little parallel universe or something?

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Final election predictions on 19:11 - Jun 8 with 1431 viewsUxbridge

If turnout is high then that could turn a lot of things on its head. A low turnout and the Tories will romp to a majority, a high turnout and all things are possible.

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Final election predictions on 19:12 - Jun 8 with 1428 viewsexiledclaseboy

Polls mainly, which have consistently showed the Tories ahead by enough to increase their majority by varying degrees.

Trust me mate, nobody will be happier than me if my prediction turns out to be wrong.

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Final election predictions on 19:15 - Jun 8 with 1416 viewsblueytheblue

Yeah but facebook polls mun. Can't beat those for accuracy.

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Final election predictions on 19:16 - Jun 8 with 1418 viewsHighjack

Yep.

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Final election predictions on 19:18 - Jun 8 with 1414 viewsPrivate_Partz

Indeed. Plenty of victims of the Nasty Party in this country. They are the enemy. As for the temerity to disagree bit. You have the cowardly Maybot down to a tee there.

You have mission in life to hold out your hand, To help the other guy out, Help your fellow man. Stan Ridgway

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Final election predictions on 19:30 - Jun 8 with 1375 viewsPrivate_Partz

Nope you are not. The Murdock press will skew everything they can however.
The problem for me is that the odds were stacked against JC as soon as he became leader. I am sure his popularity as increased but he has had a hiding from the negative media and the bitter Blairites creating divisions in the party as they believed he was unelectable.
May fell for the negative press Corbyn was getting and thereby thinking she was unassailable. It seems many in the PLP may have fallen into the same trap.
I cling to the hope that an upset will occur but it is a long shot based on the odds were stacked against JC from the off.

You have mission in life to hold out your hand, To help the other guy out, Help your fellow man. Stan Ridgway

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Final election predictions on 19:33 - Jun 8 with 1364 viewswaynekerr55

Even though I was only 10 when Kinnock didn't get in, I seem to remember that people thought he would do it.

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Final election predictions on 19:36 - Jun 8 with 1356 viewsUxbridge

You also have to look at who posts most online. It isn't pensioners, or the other demographics that vote Tory.

That's why the voting turnout is key. If it's high it means those traditionally less likely to vote, who Coincidentally are also those who post most online, are actually turning out. That could change everything as the Ashcroft polls show

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Final election predictions on 19:38 - Jun 8 with 1345 viewsexiledclaseboy

Polls were pointing to a Labour win in 1992. Major's majority was quite the shock.

By the way, I assumed you were well into your 50s.

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Final election predictions on 19:42 - Jun 8 with 1329 viewswaynekerr55

Am but a relative spring chicken at 35 😂😂😂😂

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